More than you need to know about the Aussie Super conference

Matt Rowley February 14, 2013 17

No GravatarFor some strange reason no one wants to sponsor the Aussie super conference (Bill – if you’re reading can you get back to me on G&GR’s offer?). What’s the chances of our conference lifting its game this year?


Brumbies

pocock and fotua

Photo c/o @davidpocock

Having only fallen at the final hurdle in the first year of the Jake White regime, you have to be optimistic about what year two could bring. 2013′s success was based off a limited game plan and Laurie Fisher has been open about their designs for a more attacking style. It would be hard to think of how they could have as many injury crises in the playmaker role – having Toomua and Lealiifano back and a year wiser should boost this endeavour dramatically.

The Brumbies have replaced a top notch openside with a top notch openside by landing David Pocock, whose running game the management have been open in stating they’d like to develop. Keeping the pressure of the captaincy off his shoulders makes this sound far more achievable, with Ben Mowen retaining the franchises leadership position.

Players to watch: Yet again the Brumbies show the family side of the franchise by bringing Aussie Clyde Rathbone “2.0″ back into the fold, but many will be watching to see if Christian Lealiifano or Matt Toomua can create an alternative for Wallaby 10.

Conference prediction: 1st (Odds $3 – Jake to keep riding the wave)


Reds

The Reds injury crisis, that saw them run out 5 different 5/8′s, looks to be coming to an end. Their enigmatic flyhalf look to be at full fitness and only Will Genia and James Horwill, out of the major players, remain on the injury list. The Reds have been quietly going about their business building slowly towards the Super Rugby season with little rugby news coming out of Ballymore.

Scott Higginbotham‘s move to the Rebels has left a big hole in the back row (and many a broken man-crush) but there is a long list of quality local backrowers clamouring for his spot. Although this is a young team it’s a very settled side with a proven leadership group. There a very few changes to the squad and the players who have stepped up have all come through the Reds system. Pretty boring really.

Players to watch: The usual suspects of Quade Cooper and Will Genia, the still growing Liam Gill and newcomer Nigel Ah Wong.

Conference Prediction:2nd (Odds $3 – hard to call which is first)


Waratahs

It's always easy to spot where Izzy Folau is in Sydney

It’s always easy to spot where Izzy Folau is in Sydney

I’ll go out on a limb here and say that there is no way this season can be worse than the last for the Tahs! One thing’s for certain and that is if the season comes anywhere near as bad as 2012, the players and organisation will certainly know about it from the straight shooting coach Michael Cheika.

Fitness, and “pulling your farking head in” have been top of the agenda at Moore Park, where we’ve seen the disbandment of the 8 man leadership group. Despite including blokes whose names you would expect to find in a gynaecologist’s textbook (Ulugia, Volvavola), expect more sting from a well whipped Tahs side brimming with hard-hitting Wallabies. Also pleasing to see has been the focus of Allan Gaffney on the endangered species discipline of first phase attack.

While it’s the first season of a new regime, the Tahs just could surprise this year. A big question though is what the first, let alone second choice inside back lineup looks like.

Players to watch: Do you live on the frikken moon? Israel Folau looks like he just might be the goods and G&GR’s Player of 2012 Michael Hooper has to be the signing of last year.

Conference prediction: 3rd (Odds $3.25 – as the bookies indicate, these guys could even upset the leaders)


Force

Where the Rebels are glitzy stars surrounded by youth, the Force have more of a spine of solid workers – with the likes of McAlman, Brown, Hodgson (the new Captain), Sheehan, McMeniman, Cummins and Charles. Here you have a team of honest grafters. What that unfortunately means is that they’ll end up losing most weeks by 1 point, rather than seesawing like their Melbourne rivals.

You gotta love their spirit though, and if Foley has learned from his mistakes in NSW, these guys could well grind out a few wins together with some bonus points. It’s unlikely to be pretty though and the losses of Sharpe and Pocock will be huge.

Players to watch: It would be great to see the Badger continue his vertical ascent. Sias Ebersohn also made things happen for the Cheetahs.

Prediction: 4th (Odds $21 – see the grafters prove the bookies wrong)


Rebels

The future of the Rebels depends on him

The Rebel’s season depends on him

The stars of the Southern Cross in the Rebels logo have gained added poignance with the departure of much of the old guard. Now, it’s mostly a handful of stellar players – Beale, O’Connor, Higgenbotham, Delve – and then a drop off into an abyss of developing players. Some of these players, like Neville, Jones and Pyle, could be just on the cusp of a lot more, many others leave you asking “who?”.

A positive for the Rebels though is that the off-field distractions could be dramatically reduced with the not before too soon exiling of perhaps international rugby’s most divisive nutcase back to the frozen north. This could well help even out some the see-sawing results, but with the green tinge of the squad, expect a few more blow-outs.

Players to watch: The two remaining ‘bungy brothers’ of course – Beale and O’Connor – but keep and eye on Luke Jones.

Prediction: 5th (Odds: $9.20 – I reckon the bookies are dazzled by the big names)


 

What’s your prediction for 2013?

Discussion »

  • http://landoftheunit.wordpress.com/ Sully

    Thanks Matt.

    • http://www.greenandgoldrugby.com/ Matt Rowley

      I should say thanks for the Reds write up!

  • AndrewWA

    If the Rebels season depends on James O’Connor then they’re in trouble!!!

  • Johnny-boy

    Why would a photo of the captains of the Australian Super XV sides have an incredibly average penalty magnet welsh git up front. Get your priorties right.

    • http://www.greenandgoldrugby.com/ Matt Rowley

      Not helping yourself there JB – Delve is a quality player and leader

      • Johnny-boy

        But the thing that is holding Australian rugby back is this constant lack of belief in Australians in Australian rugby. If Delve is so great, how come the Welsh are so crap. Appointing Delve is helping Welsh rugby develop leadership qualities in a Welsh player and denying an Australian develop those qualities instead.

        • http://www.greenandgoldrugby.com/ Matt Rowley

          Well, maybe if the Welsh chose Gareth, they wouldn’t be so ‘crap’.

          Any team should choose the best man for the job within that team – to do otherwise is a mockery and erodes team integrity. “Yeah, Timmo isn’t nearly as good a captain, but at least he’s an Aussie” is patently ridiculous.

        • Johnny-boy

          Except when it is meant to be an ‘australian’ franchise in a multi nation competition. Otherwise you are just ‘castrating’ the passion of your followers, just as the ARU has been ‘castrating’ the passion of Wallaby supporters by having a complete nong of a kiwi, coach the Wallabies
          There are plenty of good Australian captain choices in the Rebels. Delve getting sent off in an important game late in the season for the Rebels last year was a bloody disgrace. So they appoint him captain. A fine example for the other players, not. The Rebels clearly don’t care about their Australian-ness in this international competition do they shouldnt be too surprised if Australians don’t care much about them.

        • The Red Baron

          Tell that to the numerous Rebels fans. But let’s have some fun with this. Tell us Johnny-Boy, who would you have as the Rebels captain?

        • Johnny-boy

          Australians who would make better captains of the supposedly Australian Rebels, than Delve, in no particualr order ;
          Phipps, Saffy, Higginbotham, Caderyn Neville, JOC, Beale, Weekes – he was fantastic for the Reds a couple of seasons ago but fell to the Queenslander deserters curse (Higginbotham is excused from this as he didnt want to go). All Wallaby material. FFS Delve can’t even make the gutless crap Welsh team according to Gagger.

        • The Red Baron

          Ok, so if I understand you correctly, you would have Phipps as first choice skipper of the Rebels. Sorry mate but you have no credibility. No one on your list would be a good skipper of the Rebels.

          Think for a second. Maybe the reason Delve isn’t in the Welsh squad is because he is playing in the Southern Hemisphere. If I recall correctly, he knocked back the opportunity to go back north so he could keep playing for the Rebels. Did Delve cut you off in traffic or something? Because I can’t figure out the hate.

  • brumby runner

    I agree that the Brumbies and Reds will fight out the conference. First game could influence the season’s outcome. Really think the Brumbies can give the comp a real shake this year.

  • Pedro

    Glad it’s not just my own supporters bias that thinks the brumbies should be conference favourites. I think the rebels will out point the force who look pretty b grade this season, but I guess the same was said of the brums in 2012

  • The Rolling Maul

    It’s not clear what the Force were thinking, securing
    the services of former failed Waratah Sam Norton-Knight (another failed
    five-eighth), probably not much. He and Foley probably came cheap. Michael Cheika’s hard nosed no bullshit reputation will
    probably bring some immediate dramatic improvements in style and
    results, but with coaches like these the impact is usually temporary and by
    season-end there tends to be player discontent and management rumblings. And now that the Brumbies are everyone’s second favourite team they’ll have lost their inspiration and need to work hard to get the chip back on their shoulder.

    Much more ranting like this in my annual Super Rugby Tipping and Betting Guide on my blog. See http://therollingmaul.blogspot.com.au.

    • http://www.greenandgoldrugby.com/ Matt Rowley

      Should I put you in touch with our advertising manager RM?

  • Dave

    I disagree with the prediction placing brumbies above the reds. Here are my reasons. 1) the amount of wallabies playing for queensland. 2) the capacity of the reds to score points and play creatively. 3) the amount of come from behind wins shows the quality of the team as a whole. finally 4) as much as i dislike quade cooper he hasn’t lost a game of rugby for years now, at least not in super rugby (can’t remember about international level). that being said i am genuinely nervous about playing the brumbies in Canberra in the first round.

    • Dave

      also you would be remiss to go to lengths praising the quality of pocock and ignore liam gill when gill had a statistically greater season last year

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