Analysis: Wallabies Lineout Woes

Scott Allen October 14, 2011 26

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Lineouts are a bit like a magic trick — or better still, a magic show. A magic trick doesn’t work just because of what the magician does at the crucial moment; it relies on a much wider deception to get you watching one thing (or a number of things), so that while you’re distracted the magician can pull off his sleight of hand.

The more people are watching, the harder it is to pull off a trick. Pulling off a quick magic trick for one or two people is one thing, but pulling off a magic show with a number of tricks and a bigger audience is another thing all together.

One of my favourite movies about magic is The Prestige, starring Hugh Jackman, Christian Bale, Michael Caine and Scarlett Johansson. If you haven’t seen it, I recommend it. In the movie Caine’s character tells us that a magic trick comprises three parts:

  1. the first part is called The Pledge, in which the magician shows you something ordinary and makes you believe there’s nothing out of the ordinary about it;
  2. the second part is called The Turn — the magician takes that something ordinary and does something with it, such as making it disappear;
  3. the third part is called The Prestige, which is the hardest part, because for it to be a really good trick, where the magician made something disappear, for example, or made it appear to be something else, he has to bring it back or restore it to its original form.

Magicians use all sorts of props for magic shows, such as pretty girls, flashing lights, smoke, their outfits, and of course their wands.

Lineouts are a magic show because you’ve got to deceive eight forwards on the field who are watching your every move, and with each team having around ten lineouts on average per game you can’t keep repeating the same trick, or your audience will work out your secret and the trick won’t work any more. You can add opposition reserves and coaches to the audience members and in professional rugby (and even sometimes in club rugby) you can add in analysts who study a team’s every lineout move.

Of course there aren’t many props on the rugby field (apart from the four who hold up the scrum) so the magic of lineouts is a little harder. When I’m analysing lineouts I look at three parts, which are similar but slightly different to the three parts of a magic trick as described in The Prestige:

  1. Structure (The Pledge) — how many players are in the lineout, where are the jumpers standing, where is the best jumper standing, where is the space etc. The aim here is to make the lineout look quite ordinary with some obvious areas the opposition should target. So for example, if you run with a five-man lineout with a three-man pod at the front with a lifter, jumper and lifter and two other jumpers at the back of the lineout space, it looks quite ordinary and maybe even obvious that the throw is going to the front pod, so the opposition will mark up against that pod probably with their best lifters and jumper.
  2. Movement Speed (The Turn) — where we take that ordinary structure and do something else with it and as quickly as possible, so for example if the opposition has marked up on that front pod described above, the jumper and rear lifter in that pod can simply step aside and allow the front lifter in that pod to move all the way back to the jumper and lifter at the rear of the lineout to form a new pod. If the movement is quick enough the opposition won’t have enough time to react and the jumper in that pod will be unopposed. In that case we’ve turned something ordinary into something else ordinary but much more effective. Of course sometimes no movement across the ground can be just as effective.
  3. Action Speed (The Prestige) — where the trick in the lineout all comes together. In the example above, if the opposition don’t mark up on the front pod we use that pod to jump as quickly as possible and leave something ordinary exactly as it was but just make it more effective. If the opposition works out that you’re really going to throw to the rear pod and moves players back with your front lifter, you cancel that option and throw quickly to the front jumper, who doesn’t even need to be lifted. Of course where this part gets really tricky is when you run the same play over and over again with multiple options within the structure as quickly as possible so the opposition can’t react fast enogh to compete.

The keys in lineouts are therefore the starting structure, speed of movement across the ground (if any) and then speed of the action. Of course there is a fourth issue to look at in lineouts, which is that the techniques of your lifters, jumpers and thrower need to be sound so that the ball arrives at the spot where it’s supposed to be at the same time as the jumper’s hands arrive at that spot. For the purposes of this article I’m not going to cover those areas, and will assume those players can perform their roles more often than not. I’ll look at those aspects in another article.

One of the most important things about trying to defend lineouts is being able to read the opposition and cut through all the magic: working out who’s a decoy and who’s the real intended receiver, or if it’s your lineout, where the defenders are and how to avoid them.

The Wallabies had plenty of trouble with their lineouts in last week’s game against the Springboks, losing four of their twelve throws and losing another to a throw not straight (58% won). There were two other lineouts where the ball was turned over immediately after it had been won – Nathan Sharpe on a short throw at the front and Radike Samo when he was illegally upended by Rossouw. As a result, only five of the twelve lineouts (42%) produced clean ball to attack with. Add back in the winning penalty against Rossouw and that rises to 50%. Those headline numbers are of value as a snapshot of the performance but to really understand what was going on we need to dig further.

Here’s a summary of the Wallabies lineout performance against the All Blacks and Springboks in 2011:

TN1 v Spingboks TN3 v All Blacks TN4 v Springboks TN6 v All Blacks RWC v Springboks
Lineouts Thrown To 11 10 7 10 12
Times Won 10 8 5 8 7
% Won 91% 80% 71% 80% 58%
Times Lost 1 2 2 2 4
Times Lost Through Not Straight Throw 0 0 0 0 1

The performance against the Springboks last week was clearly the worst performance of 2011. One of the reasons the Wallabies struggled so much was that they were up against one of the best lineout operators in the game: Victor Matfield.

In this match the Wallabies used a four-man lineout once, a five-man lineout seven times and a seven-man lineout four times.  While there were some variations thrown in they essentially used four different lineout types – two in their seven-man lineouts and two in their shorter lineouts.

The table below shows my classification by type for each lineout in the order they occurred.

Lineout Number Setup Structure Movement Receiver Outcome Type
1 4 man A A 2 Won 1
2 5 man A A 2 Lost 1
3 7 man B - 3 Won 4
4 5 man A D 3 Not Straight 2
5 7 man B - 1 Won 3
6 5 man A C 2 Lost 1
7 5 man A A 2 Won 1
8 5 man A D 3 Lost 2
9 7 man B - 1 Won 3
10 5 man A B 2 Lost 1
11 5 man A C 1 Won 1
12 7 man B - 1 Won 3

I then looked at the success rate for each type, summarised in the next table:

Type Number Won Lost Win %
1 6 3 3 50%
2 2 0 2 0%
3 3 3 0 100%
4 1 1 0 100%
Total 12 7 5 58%

Types 3 and 4 were the 7 man options and they worked well with a 100% success rate. Type 4 was the long throw to James Horwill that we saw earlier this year when the Reds played the Crusaders.

Following is the video of the Horwill long throw option and the same move used against the Crusaders earlier in the year. Why does it work? The opposition look at the fact that Horwill moves to the back of the lineout where he has no lifters with him and therefore they assume he’ll have to come forward again to lifters if he’s to be an option, so they focus on the lifters further forward and the other reason it works is that the timing is absolutely perfect. Remember, the laws say Horwill can’t cross the 15 metre line until the ball leaves the thrower’s hands. Looking at these lineouts in real time you may argue it’s very close, and you’re right, but when I slow the footage down to frame by frame (that’s 24 frames per second) the timing in both cases is spot on.  That obviously took a lot of practice but it worked well in both matches.

As part of the magic show, the Wallabies showed the Springboks an over-the-back option with this first seven-man lineout, which distracted them and put them on alert in case that was used again, after which the Wallabies threw to the front on the next three occasions they used the seven-man option.

The problem for the Wallabies was in their shorter lineouts (types 1 and 2), where they won just three of eight (37%), which included the short throw to Sharpe, so these eight lineouts produced just two wins with the ball available to attack with (25%). So let’s look at what went wrong with these lineouts.

The setup for all of the shorter lineouts was essentially the same: a lifter at the back and front and the remaining members of the lineout all being jumpers grouped together in the middle.

The differences between the types were that:

  • Type 1 included the front lifter stepping out of the lineout and moving back in the lineout to allow one of the first two jumpers to move all the way to the front. There were two variations within that type where in the first the jumper who came forward first could turn and come back to lift the next jumper coming forward or where in the second the jumper that came forward first could stay at the front and the front lifter who was moving back would become the lifter for the next jumper moving forward;
  • Type 2 used no movement and on both occasions the throw went to jumper number three straight up from their starting position.

The order in which these two types were used is also important in the magic show.  Type 1 is a front ball and type 2 a back ball so the order the Wallabies used was type 1 and then another type 1 (to get the Springboks watching the front) and then a type 2. This worked well as the first type 2 they used produced a clean opportunity for the jumper as the Springboks didn’t read it and didn’t get up to contest, however the throw wasn’t straight. Then the Wallabies went back to two more type 1s before throwing in another type 2. However, this time the Springboks read it very well and simply outjumped the Wallabies. Then the Wallabies went back to two more type 1s. Whether this pattern through the match of two type 1s followed by a type 2 was a pre-planned pattern or it just turned out that way, we have no way of knowing.

The three losses using type 1 were caused by different issues as shown in the following video:

  • The first (lineout number 2) used the first variation where the second jumper comes forward, turns and lifts the front jumper.  In the following clip I’ve also included an example of where this worked well (lineout number 7). The issues with lineout 2 were that when Vickerman turns to lift he’s lined up outside of Elsom and the offset causes Elsom to become unstable and overbalance towards the Springbok side compounded by an illegal hand from Rossouw. There’s little the Wallabies can do about the hand from Rossouw but the alignment is an error that should have been eliminated in practice.
  • I can’t tell you which variation was used in the second (lineout number 6) and nor could Elsom or Kepu. You can see that Kepu thinks this is the first variation where Elsom is going to turn and lift Vickerman and as a result he stays out of the line and doesn’t participate. Elsom thinks it’s the second variation where he stays at the front and Kepu lifts Vickerman. As a result Vickerman only has one lifter and doesn’t get up to meet the ball. It looks like the throw might have been slightly high as well but in any case the ball sailed over the back and put the Wallabies under enormous pressure.
  • The third (lineout number 10) used the second variation where Sharpe stayed at the front of the lineout and Kepu lifted Elsom. The problem with this second variation is that the opposition knows that the jumper who moved forward is no longer an option as he has no lifter in front of him (unless he gets a short ball at the front, which they still have covered anyway) and therefore they can cover the next jumper because he’s now the only real option. This is exactly what Matfield does and the Wallabies lose another lineout.
  • The fourth lineout I’ve included (lineout number 11) is a slight change to the second variation described above: this time the jumper moving forward (Sharpe) does receive the short ball at the front and is easily covered.

I think this second variation the Wallabies used is too easy to attack so I hope it gets consigned to the scrap heap.

In summary the seven lineouts where the Wallabies didn’t get the ball to attack with were the result of:

  • one where the throw was not straight – lineout number 4;
  • two that involved illegal play by the Springboks – lineout numbers 2 and 12;
  • one from confusion between the lifters and jumpers – lineout number 6;
  • one where the Springboks read where the ball was going and simply jumped in front – lineout number 8; and
  • two where the variation used is a poor one (in my opinion) – lineouts number 10 and 11.

The Wallabies have got some work to do to in practice this week to reduce the errors they can control.

In defence the Wallabies lineout was poor. The Springboks had 14 lineouts and won them all. The Wallabies competed reasonably well in only three lineouts (21%), didn’t compete when close to their own line (which I think was appropriate) in two lineouts (14%), failed to compete at all in four lineouts (28%) and tried to compete but got nowhere near the ball in the remaining six lineouts (37%). It didn’t matter which option the Springboks used, the Wallabies didn’t seem to be able to read them and I’m sure they’ll be disappointed with the defensive performance. They’ll certainly need to put some pressure on the All Blacks lineout this week or they’ll spend the majority of the game defending again.

Finally, if you think I’ve gone into a lot of detail for this article, imagine the analysis the Wallabies and All Blacks support staff and coaches have been doing this week reviewing footage from games over the last couple of seasons with the multiple camera angles they have access to, which we don’t. Is there anything in the Wallabies lineouts last week that the All Blacks will pick up on? Yes, but how valuable will it be? Not all that valuable, because I can’t imagine either team will run any of the same structures again this week. All you can really pick up in advance of a game is a team’s preferred options together with strengths and weaknesses of the various players – the success or failure of your defensive lineouts really comes down to the players on the field making a good, quick read and preferably getting at least one jumper up every lineout that’s not on your own try line.

Let’s see what sort of lineout performance Jim Williams and the Wallabies come up with this week.

Discussion »

  • Barbarian

    Top notch stuff, Scott. A great read.

  • Footy

    Fantastic article! Thanks so much for all your hard work, it was a really enjoyable read.

  • Hambone

    Quality analysis, but I hope the ABs aren’t reading.

  • Blytherin

    Superb.
    Thanks for taking the time and trouble to write such an interesting, illuminating article.

  • Scarfman

    Pull this page off the internet NOW. What were you thinking Austin!!!

    • The Rant

      agree – GaGR is a little TOO good sometimes!!

    • Scott Allen

      Relax Gents – the Wallabies aren’t using those five man lineouts this weekend.

      They used a variation of them against the USA so won’t use a third time in this tournament.

      • The Rant

        well they won’t now… should have dissected the blecks – jim williams needs all the help he can get.

  • Queenslander

    Good job Austin, need to show O’Neill that we do have people who can coach in Aust

  • Patrick

    Great work this is brilliant and I love reading this stuff as well as the videos.

    IMHO The World Cup would probably be better if the IRB paid for guys like you to help out the coaching staff of the ‘minnows’.

  • Charlie

    Firstly – I just love this site and these analyses…and Scarfman hopefully see you at the Alex soon!

    With most of the lineouts that fucked up there’s a bit of a fundamental flaw here. There is a drastic lack of spacing in the interchanges. Essentially the springbok lifters and jumper aren’t forced to disconnect, move and rebind. so all the fluffing is great but if you’re doing this right in the defensible zone of the opposition all he has to look for is the commitment to the bind, and he goes immediately. This basically turns a potential advantage (illusion and uncertainty) into a disadvantage in that you’re jumping where they want you to and against a stable lifting pod already set while you’re doing it on the move.

    my thoughts anyway…

    • Antony

      I don’t really know what that means, but shit it sounds convincing.

  • Gnostic

    Great Stuff Austo, as usual. I wonder how much of a problem is not having your lineout caller an undisputed starter. Vickerman, Sharpe and Simmons have all been used to call the lineouts at some stage.

    Matfield remains the premier lineout exponent in the world and Russow is probably better at lineout time than Botha. Add in real backrow options in Spies and Burger and you have four true jumpers with a recognised general who can and does work out the lineout to such an extent they can either take the lineout or bugger the ball for the opposition. Sharpe remains the only Lock in Oz who Matfield has consistently had issues with at the lineout. I always come back to the fact that Matfield himself rates Sharpe as one of the best Lineout forwards in the world. That being the case if there are issues with the Lineout I ask why Sharpe isn’t starting and calling the shots at the set piece.

    • MattyP

      Indeed- no doubt that’s why Dingo has dropped Sharpie from the squad for this weekend…

  • Duncher

    You should take to reading tea leaves… very impressive

  • Stomper

    Great stuff – watching the 2003 sf on Foxtel after too many beers so too p$$$$Ed to comment

  • Lance Free

    At the time, I couldn’t believe how poorly we competed against the Bokke at the lineout. Apart from our losses, hardly any attempts (3 only) to disrupt their ball. Very poor. It was like we had conceded their possession in this set piece.

    In light of Sharpie’s demise (a negative in my view), do you know what his particular lineouts stats were?

    His tackling stats were outstanding for being on the field for only 29 mins (15 tackles).

    If only I had your patience……

    • Scott Allen

      Lance – his only lineout involvement in this game (as a receiver or lifter) was that short ball he received at the front.

      He was on the field for three attacking lineouts and four defensive lineouts.

    • Garry

      Lance,

      ” hardly any attempts (3 only) to disrupt their ball”

      and we know that this has been going on for some time now. A tactic, or something else?

  • ChumbaWumba

    Excellent article; a lot of work. The role of the hooker in throwing is obviously critical. Is Squeaky our best? Does he outperform TPN or Saia at getting the ball to the right spot?

  • mark conley

    Excuse my ignorance but does the hooker have to throw, what if one of the props is an ex-quarterback, Moore and TPN are big enough to be lifters!

    • bill

      Was watching some footage of the 84? grandslam wallabies, or that era, the other day and they used a winger to chuck it in. Always thought Jeremy Paul could stay on the field as long as someone else would chuck it in to the lineouts.

      Both TPN and Moore are pretty reliable. Besides, with the lineout being a big first phase attack launch don’t really want your wingers there.

  • Westy2

    It’s noticeable that our win ratio for line outs has been declining fairly consistently from your stats. it feels like the introduction of vikerman is the root of this decline?

  • Dougie

    Proof positive that forwards are the more intelligent of the rugby species. Can you imagine the backs being able to understand this stuff?

    Great work Austin. This is premium content. G&G should put it behind a pay wall!

    This is probably stupid but what would be the chances of sharking some opposition throws by always lifting No 2. Timing would be an issue but you’d think you’d be chance on some of the longer throws by getting to it ahead of it’s maximum trajectory height?

    Why do you think we appear not to either read or attack their throw? Is this a no penalty strategy or are Jim’s assistants not as smart as you?

    • Scott Allen

      Don’t like the chances of winning anything just going up at #2 – throws to the back are more often than not a lob so thrown much higher. A reasonable option in park footy but not at professional level.

      Interesting question on why they are having trouble reading. I had a look at the defensive lineouts v All Blacks in the Tri Nations final and the RWC pool game v Ireland to see if it was a problem in those games and it was – in fact the defensive performance in both of those games was also dreadful so this is an ongoing issue.

      Against the All Blacks the Wallabies only competed well in 1 lineout (9%), tried to compete but were poor in 3 (27%) and didn’t compete in 7 (64%) so in 91% of lineouts they couldn’t read what the opposition were doing well enough to put pressure on.

      Against Ireland the numbers were:- 4 lineouts in which they tried to compete but were ineffective (57%) and 3 in which they didn’t compete (43%) so in 100% of lineouts they couldn’t read what the opposition were doing well enough to put pressure on.

      Looking at the defensive lineouts from all three games it appears to me they’re trying to over read – there are three jumpers looking down at the feet of the opposition and moving backwards and forwards in anticipation of where the ball may go. By the time they think they know where it’s going and call for lifters, it’s too late for the lifters to react.

      The longer term fix looks to me like the decision makers need some intensive education on how to read – they need Michael Foley’s help. However, the simplest way to quickly fix this issue is to simplify! I’d allocate two jumpers for defence – one at number #2 with a lifter either side and leave some space behind them so that pod can move backward or forward in reaction to the opposition’s front pod. I’d have the other jumper in the middle of the lineout, again with two dedicated lifters.

      I’d insist on at least one pod up at every lineout with the lineout leader rotating which pod he calls to go up and then say every third/fourth lineout he calls for both pods to go up. Of course this would not apply when on your own try line.

      In summary, I’d tell them to stop trying to read what the opposition is doing.

      This may not win you any more ball through clean takes than is currently being won but it at least gets the opposition thinking about what you’re going to do which makes it harder for them and you will shark some wins every now and then. You also add some pressure to their thrower as he starts to try and throw over your pods.

      It’s got to be better than not competing at all in the majority of opposition lineouts as is occurring at the moment.

      This is something you can implement quickly (even at half time) in a game at most levels.

  • Dougie

    Thank you master. I need a lie down now.

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