Gibbo
Ron Walden (29)
So How are Australia's Olympic Road Race Team looking....
The Team will be made up of
Stuart O'Grady - Orica Green Edge
Simon Gerrrans - Orica-Green Edge
Michael Rogers - Team Sky
Cadel Evans - BMC
Matt Goss - Orica-Green Edge
I can see the London Road race going the same way as the GEelong World Champs in 2010. A few strong break aways - but this course is build for a sprint finish - mainly for Mark Cavendish
The three team seniors from Orica Green Edge are going to make a tough group to beat in a bunch finish - Matt Goss will be lead out well in the last stretch by Gerrans. O'grady can provide the leadership in the last 2000m that will protect Goss and Gerrans into final lead out.
Goss seems to have had the pinch on Sagan in the past few sprints (minus the deserved caning he took for the finish in last nights stage) in the Tour de France so hopefully he is peaking at the right time. If Renshaw was fit he may have challenged O'Grady for a spot. Renshaw, Gerrans, Goss is a formidable thought. But 5 olympics worth of experience is hard to knock back. Gerrans is astute and won't be pushed around by the British, Sagan or the French in the lead up to a sprint finish. They've had plenty of time together this year and I think O'Grady's decision to join Green Edge would certainly have been influenced by the prospect of riding with Goss and Gerrans in London.
With no Matt Renshaw on lead-out, Mark Cavendish hasn't looked the same - although he has been doing a lot of work for Brad Wiggins in the GC classification having dropped some serious weight to get over these hills. I think that the Gerrans O'grady combo along with Matt Goss will result in an incredibly strong sprint Finish team that can take it to anyone.
Evans and BMC has tried one massive attack in the TDF stage from hell on Thursday night and looked to be cycling in mud. I thought as he attacked from the peleton to catch up the team mate TJ he looked sluggish, TJ took off at the rate of knots, Cadel started to tire 2-3 minutes into the break.
Last but not least is Rogers. If I were picking a team today on form I would probably make the hard decision and drop Evans for Richie Porte - but Richie missed the team and so be it. Porte and Rogers have been the silent assassins in this year's TDF. It was Porte and Rogers in the first Mountain stage that took the legs out from under Cadel Evans' BMC team mates toward the end of the climb. Froome and Wiggins benefitted but it was the work of the two Aussies that did the damage on the hard 12-14% climb sections.
Rogers said on twitter he was putting out 500w for the whole time he was on the front. Career best numbers. This bodes well if he is required to sit at the front and chase down any break aways. I don't expect Rogers to win - but we will spend a lot of time on the front working with Cadel Evans to keep the tempo high - If Cadel can keep up - just joking.
I'll review in the coming days and I'll look at how the 3-4 big countries will line up against the Aussies. I'll also keep an eye on a few smokeys that might make a big play during the Olympic Road race and Time Trials....The Track races are a whole other ball game - I'll leave that to someone else.
The Team will be made up of
Stuart O'Grady - Orica Green Edge
Simon Gerrrans - Orica-Green Edge
Michael Rogers - Team Sky
Cadel Evans - BMC
Matt Goss - Orica-Green Edge
I can see the London Road race going the same way as the GEelong World Champs in 2010. A few strong break aways - but this course is build for a sprint finish - mainly for Mark Cavendish
The three team seniors from Orica Green Edge are going to make a tough group to beat in a bunch finish - Matt Goss will be lead out well in the last stretch by Gerrans. O'grady can provide the leadership in the last 2000m that will protect Goss and Gerrans into final lead out.
Goss seems to have had the pinch on Sagan in the past few sprints (minus the deserved caning he took for the finish in last nights stage) in the Tour de France so hopefully he is peaking at the right time. If Renshaw was fit he may have challenged O'Grady for a spot. Renshaw, Gerrans, Goss is a formidable thought. But 5 olympics worth of experience is hard to knock back. Gerrans is astute and won't be pushed around by the British, Sagan or the French in the lead up to a sprint finish. They've had plenty of time together this year and I think O'Grady's decision to join Green Edge would certainly have been influenced by the prospect of riding with Goss and Gerrans in London.
With no Matt Renshaw on lead-out, Mark Cavendish hasn't looked the same - although he has been doing a lot of work for Brad Wiggins in the GC classification having dropped some serious weight to get over these hills. I think that the Gerrans O'grady combo along with Matt Goss will result in an incredibly strong sprint Finish team that can take it to anyone.
Evans and BMC has tried one massive attack in the TDF stage from hell on Thursday night and looked to be cycling in mud. I thought as he attacked from the peleton to catch up the team mate TJ he looked sluggish, TJ took off at the rate of knots, Cadel started to tire 2-3 minutes into the break.
Last but not least is Rogers. If I were picking a team today on form I would probably make the hard decision and drop Evans for Richie Porte - but Richie missed the team and so be it. Porte and Rogers have been the silent assassins in this year's TDF. It was Porte and Rogers in the first Mountain stage that took the legs out from under Cadel Evans' BMC team mates toward the end of the climb. Froome and Wiggins benefitted but it was the work of the two Aussies that did the damage on the hard 12-14% climb sections.
Rogers said on twitter he was putting out 500w for the whole time he was on the front. Career best numbers. This bodes well if he is required to sit at the front and chase down any break aways. I don't expect Rogers to win - but we will spend a lot of time on the front working with Cadel Evans to keep the tempo high - If Cadel can keep up - just joking.
I'll review in the coming days and I'll look at how the 3-4 big countries will line up against the Aussies. I'll also keep an eye on a few smokeys that might make a big play during the Olympic Road race and Time Trials....The Track races are a whole other ball game - I'll leave that to someone else.