Don't really get Kochie's point about the average home ownership time. Nobody really thinks about that, and I'd suggest my demographic does more than 7 years anyway. Kids in school n shit, 7 years is the blink of an eye.
The main thing is: 50 cents a day. Or 75 cents if you take out the customer referrals and application fee.
As I write on the blog, that may actually improve with the new panels, and the Reposit controller doing smart things for the system.
http://unleashthepowerwall.com/2017/02/21/year-of-the-powerwall/
Look at it this way:
I have about 6kWh to fill up every day, and can only do it at 2.5kW (3.3kW peak)
I export about 10kWh every day, even after that.
I import a tick under 4kWh across the year.
SO
If I had 13kWh to fill in a PW2 at 5kW (7 peak)
I'd export (10 - 7 =) 3kWh *only*
BUT in terms of import, I'd need less of that - I reckon < 1kWh / day because of the bigger battery with a bigger output on it.
My advice: if you're spending a couple of grand on electricity a year, first look at your billing and the efficiency of your house.
If, like me, replacing your air con will cost $10K+ for a saving of a few hundred a year, and getting double glazing will cost $15K+ for not much better, then Powerwall 2 might be for you!