Insert Smart Tagline Here- Reds vs Sharks Preview - Green and Gold Rugby
Queensland Reds

Insert Smart Tagline Here- Reds vs Sharks Preview

Insert Smart Tagline Here- Reds vs Sharks Preview

The yo-yo season that is 2019 continued last week for the Reds, with what can only be described as an insipid performance against the Bulls. This comes after the inspired second half against the Stormers, which followed an ugly loss to the Rebels. I think you all get the point by now. No matter which way you cut it, consistency from week to week or even half to half is an issue that hasn’t been resolved yet, and ultimately it will be what sinks the Reds season. So as the Reds head down to the coast of South Africa to take on a Sharks side that exhibits many of the same qualities, let’s take a closer look.

FORM

At this point I could probably cut and paste my last couple of previews with respect to the Reds form. You all know the score by now, a mish-mash of effort mixed in with whole games of looking well below elite standards. By all reports the game last week against the Bulls was the target for this South African trip, as the rumour was Samu Kerevi would be rested for this game, as part of the Wallaby load management approach. This ended up as a 32-17 loss that really wasn’t as close as it sounds.

The Sharks seem to be the South African equivalent of the Reds, inconsistent from game to game and within games. They were belted by the Jaguares last week 51-17, but the first half was a tight contest. They haven’t been any better at home as opposed to away, and their record is perhaps deceiving, having only played one game against Kiwi opposition. Regardless, they seem to have points in them on occasion, averaging a tick over three tries per game, again eerily similar to the Reds.

Harry Hoopert is in line for his first run on start

Harry Hoopert is in line for his first run on start

REDS TEAM

Being away in South Africa has meant Brad Thorn’s options in making changes after last weeks loss so they are relatively minor in nature. Sefa Naivalu returns from his Wallaby rest and slots back onto the wing. Lukhan Salakaia-Loto goes back to lock, which enables Angus Scott-Young to start at 6. There is a first start for at loosehead for Harry Hoopert, who has definitely improved from 2018 in both workrate and scrummaging and has been rewarded.

The most interesting change is the non change in the team. For weeks it had been mooted that this game would be Samu Kerevi’s enforced rest week, yet he is still in the team. For reasons outlined below, he is vital if the Reds were to win this week. Kerevi already leads the Reds in minutes played this season so look for the rest to happen, perhaps at home, which may not appeal to Reds fans back at home.

Adam Korczyk comes onto the bench for an all too rare appearance.

SHARKS TEAM

The Sharks have made a host of changes from the team the folded last week against the Jaguares, most of which were a result of a rotational rest policy. What this means for Queensland is a much stronger opposition across the park. This is led by the return of cult figure (and also very good!) prop Tendai Mtawarira bookended by fellow Springbok Coenie Oosthuizen at tighthead. Jacques Vermeulen returning at 7 completes the changes in the pack.

The backline is not without its changes with Kobus van Wyk coming into 13 and Lwazi Mvovo swapping wings to replace the rested Makazole Mapimpi, and Sbu Mkosi slotting onto the right wing. What this presents is a very strong team, that will present the Reds with challenges right across the park.

Are the Reds prepared for a rested Beast mode?

Are the Reds prepared for a rested Beast mode?

KEY MATCH UPS

The Forward battle- The Reds have lacked the same cohesion in the front row this year, despite the pieces all being the same. Maybe it’s a case of opponents working them out but both the lineout and the scrum haven’t matched the superb levels of 2018. As a result there have been constant shuffling across the row, and this week it is Harry Hooperts turn to start. How this front row goes against Sprinbok players Mtawarira and Oosthuizen will be an interesting battle.

Samu Kerevi vs the World- I would argue that without the Captain, the Reds would be lucky to have won a game this year at all. He leads the competition in carries by some margin, equal leader in defenders beaten, fourth in metres, and fourth in clean break. To boot, he leads Queensland in tries with 5. Put simply, no one else in the team comes close to matching those figures. It’s clear he is relied on, possibly too much so if he is shut down, the whole team will grind to a total halt. If only the Reds can clone him before injury or foreign money takes him out of the lineup more regularly.

The Boots- I am bloke who lives for stereotypes. Not the racist or sexist kind, but the rugby kind. So it sort of shook me when I realised the Reds goal kicking this season is ahead of the Sharks- 79% v 73%.  This messes with my head, and I was fully prepared to write the old lines of “South African kicking is heaps better and it might be the difference”. Well the Reds are fifth for accuracy, with only the Sunwolves radar Hayden Parker being miles in front. So in a game that is likely to be close in one way or another, it is perhaps an advantage for the Reds if Bryce Hegarty remains on track with the boot. Tactical kicking is different, and the Reds inconsistency can hurt them with the lightning quick Mvovo on the wing.

 

PREDICTION

You never know which team will turn out from week to week- for both the Sharks and the Reds. With that in mind, it would seem that this result will be just as hard to pick accurately. The Reds will welcome the drop in altitude from the Veldt but for what it’s worth (not much judging by results) the Sharks are still at home.

I think given all the variables the only true fitting result will be for both teams to either show up and have a 50 all draw, or neither of them to and a 12 all draw.

Either way, I am going all out to predict a draw. Now excuse me while I remove the splinters this fence has given me.

 

MATCH DETAILS

Sharks

15 Curwin Bosch
14 Sbu Nkosi
13 Kobus Van Wyk
12 Andre Esterhuizen
11 Lwazi Mvovo
10 Robert Du Preez
9 Louis Schreuder (c)
8 Daniel Du Preez
7 Jacques Vermeulen
6 Phillip Van Der Walt
5 Hyron Andrews
4 Ruben van Heerden
3 Coenie Oosthuizen
2 Kerron van Vuuren
1 Tendai Mtawarira

Replacements:

16 Fez Mbatha
17 Juan Schoeman
18 Thomas du Toit
19 Tyler Paul
20 Jean-Luz du Preez
21 Cameron Wright
22 Marius Louw
23 Aphelele Fassi

Reds

15 Hamish Stewart
14 Sefa Naivalu
13 Chris Feauai-Sautia
12 Samu Kerevi (c)
11 Jack Hardy
10 Bryce Hegarty
9 Tate McDermott
8 Scott Higginbotham
7 Liam Wright
6 Angus Scott-Young
5 Lukhan Salakaia-Loto
4 Izack Rodda
3 Taniela Tupou
2 Alex Mafi
1 Harry Hoopert

Replacements:

16 Brandon Paenga-Amose
17 JP Smith
18 Ruan Smith
19 Harry Hockings
20 Adam Korczyk
21 Moses Sorovi
22 Duncan Paia’aua
23 Jock Campbell

Match Details Date: Friday 19 April (local)
Venue: Jonsson Kings Park, Durban
Kick-off: 15:05pm local, 23:05 AEST
Referee: Federico Anselmi (ARG) AR1: Glen Jackson (NZ) AR2: Jaco “Pay the” Peyper (RSA)
Television Match Official: Marius Jonker
  • Adrian

    Thanks Ben.

    Bookies say 12.5 start to Reds. I’d take that,… they even could win.

    The Reds will be dead shitty with themselves after last week, and it is their “turn” to go well.

    Similar climate for both teams….for what it’s worth.

    IMO all Australian teams will be disrupted by Folau’s selfish rant, especially the Reds

    • idiot savant

      Actually I can see Folau lining up at 15 for the Reds next season. The ideal man to lead pre training prayer group. Might give Samu incentive to stay….

    • Huw Tindall

      Mate where have you been on the Folau chat? I may have missed it but is there any optimistic outcome here other then bringing forward the next generation of player and finding our next super star (Kerevi).

      • Greg

        I think the risk is that it drags RA (and us) through the courts and is very unsettling to some of the devout islanders that are key members of our teams.

        IN terms of refreshing the wobs… very solid point.

        • Huw Tindall

          That’s it Greg. Hopefully this doesn’t distract from the actual rugby for too long.

          Without Folau a lock in the back 3 it really does clear the air for some new conversations about our players and recruitment. Actually pretty exciting when you think about it!

      • Adrian

        Huw, I have been avoiding places like this and the discussion that shows how small we are, with one player completely holding the game to ransom.

        I see him as a dishonest, money grabbing hateful, bigoted, cruel, selfish and politically motivated idiot. Period.

        Unfortunately, this blog is sucked in to the mire. I was getting sick of the the neverending Waratah/Cheika conspiracy stories anyway, but now some stories seen to be both. A regular here condescendingly informed me that that is what almost every body here wants. It is hard to disagree with him.

        The occasional OS site has actual content, as does Nic Bishop.

        I certainly don’t want money thrown at another potential underminer. Due diligence has to be done. IMO 99% of people who practice a religion (including PI folk) are tolerant and ok. Just like everyone else, we need to check the details first to find out who the weirdos are first. Frankly I’d prefer Tod Carney to Folau.

        There,….I’ve been sucked in too!

        I’d rather be talking about whether Beale is better at 12 or 15 (or 23), and why.

        Oh dear…..

        • Huw Tindall

          It’s been a rough week and it’s brought all and sundry with an opinion out of the wood work. The instant backlash is what got me worried. This may not be over quickly and could drag on to the detriment of everyone. Couldn’t have come at worse time either with a positive start to the super season and a RWC coming up later in the year. What we do need is people like you focusing on actual rugby on the forums! Still lots of interesting stuff happening.

          Most immediately with Beale at the Tahs/Wallabies I really don’t know where he is best anymore. He definitely seems to be out of form somewhat. Compared to RWC2015 where he was sparkling off the bench he seems to be struggling to make an impact. Maybe he hasn’t adapted to the developments in the game the last few years (big centres) and is trying to play yesterday’s game still. Right now I wouldn’t pick Beale in the Wallabies at all. Form just doesn’t deserve it. Not at 12 and utility back spot I’d give to someone like Hodge (assuming he isn’t in your run on side!).

        • Adrian

          You are right on all counts Huw.
          The next few weeks will define Beale.

          In my current WC team he is on the bench.

          I think his days at 12 are over,… except for last 20 of some games….either moving there from FB or the bench. 12 for Beale was really all about the Foley/Beale/Folau show.

          At the WC it was the Foley/Beale show. At Wasps Beale was outstanding at 15 (18 months ago)

          I’d keep the moves he was part of at 12, even though Folau won’t be there, and nor will Naiyaravoro.

          We will see, starting this week, how his running game really is. I think Beale, Foley and Toomua were all negatively effected by the “rotation” at 10,12 employed by Cheika and Larkham at the end of 2018

  • idiot savant

    Nice write up Ben. One small point. The Reds line out was not ‘superb’ in 2018. In fact the Thorn coached line out was third last in line outs won last year just above the Sunwolves and the Blues. A huge drop from 2017 when they had a different line out coach. (And Ok they had Simmons too)

    I think the bigger Sharks pack might suit the Reds better because they have been flogged at the breakdown this season by the faster packs. But I doubt if it will be enough to get the job done. I would like to see Hegarty run more in this game. The Reds need some zip in the inside channels to get behind the opposition pack. Shame Lucas is with the 20s. I notice also Stewart dropped a high ball last week. I expect Bosch to put a few up to test him out.

    • GO THE Q REDS

      Yep they had Simmons but the Coach didn’t want him anymore…… Responsibility anyone?

  • Huw Tindall

    Any team with the Du Preez brothers is going to be a handful. Are they interested in moving to Australia? Sure the Smith twins could put them up until they finds some digs (in Sydney at the Tahs!).

    I just want to see development in the Reds now. Kerevi is a one man army and the his stats in such a young team suggest he’d be world beating at say the Rebels.

    • Ruggaman

      All 3 Du Preez brothers signed with Sale Sharks

      • Huw Tindall

        Ugh bugger. Sale is just south of Manchester in a relatively boring part of the UK (without any disrespect). Woukd rather lose than live there ;)

  • Greg

    Thanks Ben. It will be an interesting game.

    What I don’t get is why we are talking about Rugby and no the slow moving train wreck that is Mr Folau!!

Queensland Reds
@Ben_Marczyk

Passionate about rugby from the grass roots up. Usually found at Brisbane club rugby games, or being involved in the junior and schools system. Love a chat, happy to admit when I'm wrong. I will watch any game of rugby regardless of who is playing, from juniors through to tests

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