Jaguares v Reds Around the World Part 1 - Green and Gold Rugby
Queensland Reds

Jaguares v Reds Around the World Part 1

Jaguares v Reds Around the World Part 1

One of the crazy things that happens in Super Rugby is this road trip. Fly from Australia to Argentina, play some footy, fly from Argentina to South Africa, play some footy, fly from South Africa to Australia. That’s a tough trip without all the stuff that comes with playing a sport at a high level. Waiting for them on the first leg is a team who have slept in their own beds for a couple of weeks and who also smashed the Reds old foe, the Waratahs last weekend. The Reds aren’t sporting a lightweight clone like back five in their forward pack and won’t surrender the gain line as easily as the Tahs did. The Jaguares will try to continue the high paced offload game while the Reds will do their best to snuff that out with good tackling and a organised defence.

 

The Scrum

Reds scrum was a weapon

The Reds have turned their scrum into a weapon this season, claiming thirteen penalties from just three matches. The most pleasing part of the Reds scrum is the improvement shown each week. It started with a seven man (sometimes six) man effort that held it’s own against the Rebels and went to a dominant display over the Brumbies to pushing a pack of big South Africans around the park. The Jaguares scrum is no rable either. A 95 percent win rate is nothing to sneeze at. But it’s also not the force it once was. The young Reds pack should dominate here.


The Offload

 

Bulls player gets the pass away, as Jono Lance holds on to a shoelace

Bulls player gets the pass away, as Jono Lance holds on to a shoelace

The Jaguares have turned the offload and support play into a fine art. When it works it’s beautiful to watch, when it doesn’t it’s a dog’s breakfast. it relies on getting over the gain line and passing to a player already behind the defence. The Reds tend to bend the line and set up a ruck to continue play. That all takes time that the Jag’s just skip. If the Reds want to control the Jaguares here they will need to put them on the ground and tie up the ball to stop the offload. There is a slim line between slowing the ball and leaking penalties for taking too long. The Reds will need to thread this needle all day long.


The battle for field postion

Aidan Toua clears to end the game

While the Reds rebuild their game field position becomes essential. The Jaguares are much further down the road in game development while the Reds are just starting to build some attack on top of the solid set piece and defence they’ve worked on in the offseason. While the Argentinian’s can score long-range tries, the Reds more often than not need to be in the right part of the field to get over the line. Both Jono Lance and Aiden Toua will need to be on song with the boot to keep the Reds at the right end of the park.


Overall

Most punters have written the Reds off on this one, but the players may be too young to listen to the press or pay attention to reputations. If the Jaguares click again it could get ugly, if the Reds click they could scrape in.

Reds by 3!

Jaguares

1 Felipe Arregui
2 Agustin Creevy
3 Nahuel Tetaz Chaparro
4 Matias Alemanno
5 Tomas Lavanini
6 Pablo Matera (c)
7 Marcos Kremer
8 Javier Ortega Desio
9 Gonzalo Bertranou
10 Nicolas Sanchez
11 Emiliano Boffelli
12 Santiago Iglesias
13 Matias Orlando
14 Bautista Delguy
14 Joaquin Tuculet

Replacements:

16 Julian Montoya
17 Santiago Botta
18 Juan Pablo Zeiss
19 Guido Petti
20 Juan Manuel Leguizamon
21 Martin Landajo
22 Juan Martin Hernandez
23 Sebastian Cancelliere

Reds

1. James Slipper (C) – Bond University
2. Brandon Paenga-Amosa – Sunnybank
3. Taniela Tupou – Brothers
4. Izack Rodda – Easts
5. Kane Douglas – Norths
6. Angus Scott-Young – University of Queensland (run-on debut)
7. Adam Korczyk – University of Queensland
8. Caleb Timu – Souths
9. James Tuttle – GPS
10. Jono Lance – University of Queensland
11. Eto Nabuli – GPS
12. Samu Kerevi – Souths
13. Chris Feauai-Sautia – Souths
14. Filipo Daugunu – Wests
15. Aidan Toua – Easts

16. Andrew Ready – Easts
17. JP Smith – GPS
18. Ruan Smith – GPS (potential Queensland debut)
19. Harry Hockings – University of Queensland
20. Liam Wright – Easts
21. Ben Lucas – Sunnybank
22. Hamish Stewart – Bond University
23. Duncan Paia’aua – Norths

  • Christopher

    Call it blind optimism and it is early, but this side doesn’t seem to be the self-implosion side of the past. Not saying the will win, but can’t see the towels being thrown in.
    Reds to grind out a win. Lance to blink uncontrollably for a week after thanks to the crowd

    • Gipetto

      Nabuli is a one man implosion device. The bench has three #10s. Paia’aua should start and Eto can sit on the bench all game keeping Hamish company. Mc Dermott should be on the bench instead of one of the spare #10s. I am poised to criticize the coach [anonymously of course] if the selections don’t work

  • Brisneyland Local

    Sully, as always a great write up, well considered, and thoughtful. This is going to be a tight one.
    BL’s view (for what it is worth), is that the Jaguares are very similar to Les Blues. You never know which team is going to show up. On their day, they will beat anyone, when it is not their day, they are a shit fight. It is unusual for the Jaguares to have two blinders in a row. And I am pretty sure Brad Thorn and the team would have watched the replayof the tarts game over and over to see where the weaknesses are when they are firing.
    As you rightly pointed out the Reds scrum is a weapon, and it is getting better every week. Let the battle of the scrums begin. I am really looking forward to this one. Reds by 7.

    • I think we are a good chance to win this.

      • Brisneyland Local

        Yep I wont be betting the house on it, but if they stay disciplined, they will definitely be fitter, and their scrum will be stronger. Thanks again for agreat write up!

      • Simon

        I certainly think we’re better odds than the $3 the bookies are offering.

        They beat the Tahs pretty convincingly last week but this is a completely different setup. The Tahs try to play open but their defensive failings come back to bite them and the Jags will hurt you if you open up. This week’s Reds team is the anti-Tahs – no fancy playmaking, just direct running, hard impacts (especially in the centres), field position based, and shutting down the opposition by strong defence.

        The Jags have very dangerous outside backs but if they don’t get the ball there’s not much they can do. In the last 20 minutes we have Wright, Ready and JP Smith coming on, all of whom are real breakdown threats – the Jags will need to watch out or it’ll be a pilfer fest. In attack, Kerevi and CFS are both over 100kg against 90kg opposition centres. No need for fancy ball skills, just truck it up and aim to bust the tackles.

        I’m tipping a much lower scoring game than the Tahs game anyway.

    • Simon

      I think the opposition can also sway which Jags team shows up too. Let them get away to a blinder like the Tahs did and you’re in trouble. Shut them down, make them start to throw the risky passes and offloads, and the errors will start to build, the heads will drop and you’re halfway home.

      • Brisneyland Local

        Very true

  • McWarren

    Thanks for the write Sully. I am refusing to get ahead of myself with over optimism. I think we can win, but I think we’ll be edged by Jags experience and home crowd. Jags by 5.

    • As Reg once said “We are managing expectations.”

      • Simon

        It’s amazing how quickly all that good management starts to fall apart after a couple of wins, though.

  • Funk

    Reds have named their team.

    1. James Slipper (C) – Bond University
    2. Brandon Paenga-Amosa – Sunnybank
    3. Taniela Tupou – Brothers
    4. Izack Rodda – Easts
    5. Kane Douglas – Norths
    6. Angus Scott-Young – University of Queensland (run-on debut)
    7. Adam Korczyk – University of Queensland
    8. Caleb Timu – Souths
    9. James Tuttle – GPS
    10. Jono Lance – University of Queensland
    11. Eto Nabuli – GPS
    12. Samu Kerevi – Souths
    13. Chris Feauai-Sautia – Souths
    14. Filipo Daugunu – Wests
    15. Aidan Toua – Easts

    16. Andrew Ready – Easts
    17. JP Smith – GPS
    18. Ruan Smith – GPS (potential Queensland debut)
    19. Harry Hockings – University of Queensland
    20. Liam Wright – Easts
    21. Ben Lucas – Sunnybank
    22. Hamish Stewart – Bond University
    23. Duncan Paia’aua – Norths

  • Funk

    There are a few things I’m looking forward to in this one:
    Ready gets his first shot this year…hopefully he can regain some of his 2016 form.
    Let’s see if Ruan can match JP in the finishers.
    Can’t wait to see Benny L in the red jersey again (should have never let him go).
    Angus “two dads” Jr, has looked impressive in his finishers role, hopefully puts in a big one on his run on debut.

  • Kiwi rugby lover

    Nice writeup Sully, I think you’re right and if things go their way the Reds can come out on top. I think the main issue for them will be the kicking game as the Jaguars are well ahead in this area. I doubt that the Reds will let them come out on top as much as the Tahs did at the start of the game last week and that’s where that game was won. Looking forward to this one.

  • Mica

    Anyone know what happened to Mafi?
    Thought he was going pretty well and he also helped in the continuation of scrum dominance in the last few games.

  • mattyjinred

    So observations:

    1. We are going abrasive in the back row. Fetcher is on the bench for the last 20m to try and grab some penalties and points
    2. Nabuli – How many more chances must this guy get. We seriously must have a better option – Toua to wing and Lucas to FB – hopefully next week.
    3. Thats one wrecking ball mid-field. Good to Feauai-Sautia get closer to the action think he has been one of the unsung heroes of last two games.
    4. JP Smith seriously is putting pressure on Slips. He is hitting it up and the scrum goes to another level when he is on
    5. Stewart needs some time on the field. Hopefully its the last 15m and we have put the game out of reach but playing in a foreign/hostile stadium is needed.
    6. Hope the Jaguares execute the ball in hand game well. Our defense needs the test for the NZ teams later in the season.

    I have faith in the boys. They are playing to their opposition and getting the basics right. The flare is coming and I think this week with the Samu/CFS midfield this could be our break out week.

    Reds by under 5pts is my pick.

Queensland Reds
@Only1Sully

Just another Rugby tragic. Shane "Sully" Sullivan has been in man love with the game since high school in the 70's. He inflicts his passion on family and anyone who will listen. He can't guarantee unbiased opinion but he can tell you the Reds are Awesome! To read non-rugby content head to http://www.onesully.com.au

More in Queensland Reds