Rebels v Reds preview - Green and Gold Rugby
Melbourne Rebels

Rebels v Reds preview

Rebels v Reds preview

The Rebels host the Reds (in Sydney?) in Round Two of Super Rugby AU.

First, I wanted to go off script (from a Rebels v Reds preview) for a moment. I wanted to welcome the Western Force back to Super Rugby, where they always should have been. All the best to the Western Force staff, players and supporters on Saturday night against the Waratahs and for the rest of the season.

Now, back to the match preview…

2020 continues to throw up surprises and scenarios that no one would have ever thought off. The Melbourne Rebels are playing a home game at Brookvale Oval. I never thought I would ever be writing that sentence.

This will be an intriguing clash, given that prior to the postponement of the Super Rugby season due to COVID-19, these two teams were sitting 2nd and 3rd on the Australian conference ladder.

Form

In round one of Super Rugby AU, the Rebels took on tournament favourite the ACT Brumbies in Canberra and the Queensland Reds hosted the NSW Waratahs. The results of both matches were in doubt in the last 10 minutes.

Both the Rebels and Reds dominated their opponents at scrum time. (Although some Brumbies fans may not have agreed with Angus Gardner’s thoughts on the scrums). The Reds, in particular, had some problems with another set piece … the lineout … losing 5 lineouts on their throw.

The Rebels started slowly against the Brumbies and fell behind early; they solidified their position in the middle of the first half but didn’t make significant inroads into the Brumbies’ lead. The Brumbies then kicked away from the Rebels at the end of the first half and early in the second half. In the middle twenty minutes of the second half the Rebels came to life and at one stage reduced the lead to one point before eventually losing by eight points.

The Rebels displayed some defensive lapses at times and also ill-discipline which provided the Brumbies the opportunity on a number of occasions to use one of their strengths, the attacking lineout.

The Reds broke an 11-game losing streak against the Waratahs. The Reds had the best of the first half leading 19-7 before the Waratahs kicked three penalty goals and following a set play Jack Maddocks burst through the Reds line to put the Waratahs in front. The Reds who scored four tries to the Waratahs two, wrapped up a six-point win with two late penalties from James O’Connor.

 

Players to Watch

I’ve cast my eye of the teams.  This is who you should watch.

Melbourne Rebels

Matt To’omua

To’omua played his 100th Super Rugby game last week, most fittingly against his old side the Brumbies. Prior to the COVID-19 shutdown, To’omua had developed a wonderful combination with scrum half Ryan Louwrens and Rebels fans will be hoping for that combination to continue to blossom. To’omua can play in a number of back line positions but all games he has played in 2020 have been in the 10 jersey. To’omua has a good kicking game, which he should be able to use to exploit the new rules. To’omua’s goalkicking may also be important if the game is tight.

Matt Philip

Philip has been a consistent and reliable performer for the Rebels since joining them in 2018 from the Western Force. Philip played his 50th Super Rugby game just before the COVID-19 shutdown. Last week Philip had the most carries by a Rebels forward with 11 and also had the most lineout wins for a Rebel with 3. Philip is a definite chance of returning to the Wallabies squad this year even though he has signed a one-year contract in France for next year. This match is a homecoming for Philip, who attended St Augustine’s College across the road from Brookvale Oval.

 

Reece Hodge

Hodge is another player who is returning home to Manly this week. Hodge is the all-time leading try scorer and point scorer for the Rebels. Hodge is Mr Verstaile and has played in every backline position for the Rebels except for scrum half. His versatility sometimes plays against him as it has this week because he has been named on the bench. Hodge has a booming kick. It was one of Hodge’s runs last week midway through the second half that seemed to wake the Rebels up and inject some enthusiasm into the side. Keep an eye on him to make an impact off the bench in the second half.

Queensland Reds

Tate McDermott

McDermott was arguably the Reds best player against the Waratahs. McDermott scored a try after catching the Waratahs’ forwards napping and taking a quick tap from a penalty from five metres out from the try line. McDermott also made two clean breaks, including one where he gained 40 metres before being tackled just five metres out from the line. If the Rebels have any defensive lapses don’t be surprised if McDermott either slices his way through the defence or provides a pass to a teammate to take advantage of the lapse. The Rebels will also not be able to ignore McDermott’s kicking game after he took advantage of one of the new rules against the Waratahs kicking a 50/22.

 

Fraser McReight

McReight is a promising backrower who captained Australia to a final appearance at the Under 20 World Championships in Argentina. McReight also captained Brisbane City in the NRC. Watch for McReight at the breakdown, last week he was responsible for winning 4 turnovers out of the Reds’ total of 8. One of those turnovers came at a critical time late in the match when the Waratahs were on the attack. The back row of McReight, Liam Wright and Harry Wilson are very important contributors for the Reds.

Fearless Prediction

It will be interesting to see if the Rebels scrum can back up their performance from last week. I would expect that the Reds will be the better performed scrum this week. However, before last week I would have predicted that the Brumbies’ scrum would have outperformed the Rebels. If the Rebels forwards can get close to break even, I believe the experience of the Rebels backline will be enough to get the Rebels the win … Rebels by 10 points

Match Details

Melbourne Rebels v Queensland Reds

Friday 10 July at 7:05pm EST (5:05pm WST)

At Brookvale Oval

Melbourne Rebels:

1. Matt Gibbon, 2. Jordan Uelese, 3. Pone Fa’amausili, 4. Matt Philip, 5. Michael Stolberg, 6. Josh Kemeny, 7. Richard Hardwick, 8. Michael Wells, 9. Ryan Louwrens, 10. Matt To’omua, 11. Marika Koroibete, 12. Billy Meakes, 13. Campbell Magnay, 14. Andrew Kellaway, 15. Dane Haylett Petty

Reserves: 16. Efi Ma’afu, 17. Cameron Orr, 18. Jermaine Ainsley, 19. Trevor Hosea, 20. Esei Ha’angana, 21. Robert Leota, 22. Frank Lomani, 23. Reece Hodge

Queensland Reds

1. Harry Hoopert, 2. Brandon Paenga-Amosa, 3. Taniela Tupou, 4. Angus Blyth, 5. Lukhan Salakaia- Loto, 6. Liam Wright, 7. Fraser McReight, 8. Harry Wislon, 9. Tate McDermott, 10. James O’Connor, 11. Filipo Daugunu, 12. Hamish Stewart, 13. Hunter Paisami, 14, Jock Campbell, 15. Bryce Hegarty

Reserves: 16. Alex Mafi, 17. JP Smith, 18. Joshua Nasser, 19. Tuaina Tualima, 20. Angus Scott-Young, 21. Scott Malolua, 22. Chris Feauai-Sautia, 23. Joshua Flook

 

  • KwAussie Rugby Lover

    Thanks Scott, nice write up. This game is one that really will start to define both coaches and i think is asking them both what they have. I think the Reds have it over the Rebels in the attack and are also much more stable due to Wessels continual chop and changes in his team. The Rebels do seem one dimensional and if this doesn’t work they don’t seem to have options. Brave call on the score and I’m going the other way and picking Reds by 12

  • Keith Butler

    The sides look pretty evenly matched but the Reds have the stronger back row and that could be the difference. Much as I hate to say it, the Reds to take it by not many.

    • Westo

      The Reds do need to see more work-rate from Hunter P & Jock C. I was watching both on Friday and they were mostly absent for the first half. Doesn’t help when plan A was more of a kicking game plan. Tonight you will see the occasional 50/20 but a lot more back row go forward to your point, then some width. The battle of the wings will be interesting. Bring it on!

  • Mart

    Players to watch…Reece Hodge sitting on the pine… ;)

    • Scott Rea

      Mart I wrote the article before the teams came out. I thought about picking another player from starting 15 but decided to go with Hodge because I expect the game to be close and he could provide the difference in last 20 or 30 minutes .

      • Mart

        Figured as much mate, just a joke. Hope he gets to rip in , be good to see him do something better than average

  • Westo

    Reds are going to be more confident & settled after last weeks game. They still coming off that win against the Bulls way back and a couple of close losses. The momentum has just been rejuvenated. Last week was interesting with the new rules, the layoff, the player changes and fitness levels. Reds will be way better for it as they left plenty on the pitch if you ask me. Where the individual Rebs backs on paper do look better, as a team they are not. They remind me of the Cheika Wallabies. Can’t wait so bring it on except the dry July undertaking…a poorly selected month IMO.

    • Yowie

      My old boss had his dry month in February – because it’s the shortest month.

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