The Hux Files: Donde estan la ‘Rugby Smarts’?

Julian Huxley October 5, 2012 50

No GravatarWhen I think of Australian rugby I think running rugby. Teams containing the likes of Gregan, Larkham, Roff, Mortlock, Kefu, Burke and Campese to name a few. The other word that springs to mind when I think of those names is ‘smarts’.

How does that smart, Carlos?

‘Rugby smarts’, to be more exact.

Australia used to be a team that would play smart, having led the opponent into a trap they would deliver the decisive blow. Nothing is as demoralising for a team than to feel like the opposition is toying with you. This was a mental advantage the Wallabies used to have over the All Blacks, and the rest of the world, from roughly 1998 to 2002. It lingered with varying strength all the way up to about 2008.

Having played with the likes of Gregan, Larkham and Mortlock in the early part of my career, I watched as they coolly dissected our opponent’s game, devised targeted strategies to beat them, and then delivered it with a precision in the heat of battle that defied belief. I’m sad to say that this approach, one that yielded every trophy available to an Australian rugby team, appears dead.

As I watched the Wallabies the other night against South Africa, I couldn’t quite put my finger on what was wrong. The commitment was there, some incredible individual displays of skill were there, and we had a lot of ball. It didn’t really look like we were doing that much wrong.

Yet we were beaten comprehensively, 31-8. The  Springbok kickers missed 4 penalties and a conversion, not to mention having 3 tries disallowed. It could have been a 50 point drubbing.

So I sat down and watched the replay this week to take a better look. I noticed that we weren’t really stringing any passes together. This happens when a team’s shape is poor and there aren’t actually any passing options available.

So I began counting the number of passes executed each phase for each team. I was astounded by the numbers.

From Hux’s own hand

For 75% of the time Australia had the ball we passed the ball once or less. There were 21 pick and goes, and 67 times we hit it up one pass from the ruck.  South Africa, a team known more for brutal force than nuance, put us to shame. Only 50% of the time they attacked did they pass it once or less. For 25% of the time they attacked they strung together three passes or more.

The Wallabies did this for 6% of the time, seven times in total. The only try Australia scored came from a phase of play with four passes.  South Africa’s three disallowed tries and two of their actual tries came when they strung together three passes.

Basically, all this means is that against the top teams in the world you have to use the ball to score tries. This should be good news because using the ball has always been something innate in Australian rugby players. At the moment, this is either being coached out of them, or the systems in place don’t facilitate this kind of play. The solutions are complex and can be achieved in a number of ways.

The one indisputable fact is, no matter which method you choose, you must use the ball to break down modern-day defences. Only then can you manipulate the opposition to your advantage the way Australian teams have so successfully done in the past. Unfortunately, the Wallabies have become a team so far removed from their spiritual strength.

Australian rugby may just need one more loss this week to begin the journey home.

By the way, Barcelona was awesome. A few pics are below.


Discussion »

  • Who Needs Melon

    Very, VERY telling statistic. Great article. Thank you.

  • johnny-boy

    Nice article Hux. Who’d of thought elite players can actually see the problem when we are led to believe they are just 2nd grade slave robots struggling to implement the genius of the administration

  • The Red Baron

    Well said Hux.

  • Redstragic

    Huxley is astute and expresses himself really well. Would love to see him mentoring the younger guys in communication skills, maybe we would not spend our time fighting about what the guys said and instead be honest about fixing the problem.

  • Barbarian

    Brilliant article Hux.

    Who would have thought one reasonably simple statistic can cut right to the heart of what is wrong with the Wallabies at the moment.

  • Tangawizi

    Paying $2 for the win I hope we dont need one more loss. Deans has to go regardless.

    There’s a good chance there’ll be more fans dressed in black than gold at Suncorp in 2 weeks and that says it all really. Anyone know any Wallabies fans still looking for tickets? No, me either…

  • pants

    I live in Brisbane and am not going to the game. I would go if Robbie was gone though. That’s just how i feel and i really wish the ARU would just do what needs to be done to as you say, get Australian Rugby back to where it should be. Robbie has done so much damage and yet remains at the helm. Unbelievable.

    • Packy

      Well there’ll be 15 players in gold on the field trying their guts out. Its not about the coach its about supporting your team. They played good rugby against Wales and they can do it again

      • Blinky Bill of Bellingen

        Well said Packy. ;)

        Where’s the point in penalising the players because you don’t like the coach? :(

        Carn the Wallabies!!!!!!!!!!

        • wiggety

          It’s not about penalising the players. It’s just no fun watching the Wallabies anymore. We KNOW they are full of talent. But we aren’t getting to see that talent. It is painful to watch. There is an elephant in the room that everyone can see, but the administration is going through the motions of protocol and refusing to pull the trigger. Why is it that not a single high profile rugby personality has come out and blasted Quade for his outbursts? Obviously, because everyone agrees with his fundamental point… Deans has to go. What surprises me most is that JO’N is renown for making the tough decisions, but for some reason he is refusing to make this most obvious of tough decisions. Hurry up JO’N, and please put us out of our misery.

    • bill

      Being a reds fan for a while I used to take some satisfaction in being a good fan and supporting them through thick and mostly thin.

      Suffering…well it wasn’t suffering, there were usually bright sparks to focus on in young guys coming through or bits of great play or occasional great game.

      With these wallabies it’s different for some reason, I’ve been through that with the reds, once is enough. What we’ve been seeing just isn’t good enough.

  • justtacklehim

    Beautiful article Hux. A simple and telling display of stats.
    Not growing up and understanding the culture of Australian rugby is at the heart of the issues that Deans faces in coaching Australia. His approach to the game and the systems he runs relies on the NZ style of game and upbringing. We have always out-smarted our opposition and broken them down with multiple phases and pressure.
    I still think that Deans would’ve been successful as the NZ coach because he understands their approach to the game.

  • Harden up

    I believe this comes from each players attitude. A lot of the players are so ego-centric and so wrapped up in themselves that they forget to pass the ball or get into a position to recieve it. the coach is often blamed for bad player attitude (and can have a big influence on this) but for the real changes to happen some of the players need to have a good hard look at themselves. You’ll notice that coherent teams pass the ball more and have more ball runners (15 blokes working as one). Sacking the coach will be the catalyst for change and hopefully the next guy can get through to some of the players (or we’ll be blaming him for the poor rugby aswell).

  • Roscoe Tims

    You’ve nailed it Hux. Very, very salient point.

    PS Any sign of Manuel?

  • D

    “Australian rugby may just need one more loss this week to begin the journey home”

    A loss to the pumas will be the push Aus rugby needs to get rid of the current coaching staff. There is something wrong and it’s getting worse. Although it will be impressive if the Wallabies do win this week it will be paper over the cracks and we will be stuck with Deans for another year or two.

    • Gus

      I think the change needs to go higher and wider than just the coaching stuff. The current set up feels that there are those within the management levels that don’t have the best interests of Australian rugby at heart. It’s the same vibe the Waratahs are currently giving off and it was the similar to the vibe coming out of Queensland a few years ago.

      The approach taken at the QRU needs to be followed. Gut the place, start over and bring in people who want to strive to see their organisation be the best it can be.

      • bill

        Yeah, changeing the coach is just shuffling the deckchairs, head office need to be audited to the shithouse.

        I can remember watching Hux at subiaco and saying to the guy beside me if only Hux had another couple of yards of pace he’d be a world beater. Nice to see he’s as accurate off the field as on it.

        Mind you the boks blasted us so badly in the collisions here it would have impacted the pass stats even if we played smart or had the skills to do so.

  • scarfman

    Is it possible, though, that Gregan, Mortlock and Larkham were just plain SMARTER than O’Connor, Beale, and .. well obviously Cooper.

    • johnny-boy

      Cooper is getting paid what, $750,000 per year ?

      How much are you getting paid Scarfman ?

      On his wage he probably thinks he’s significantly smarter than you and he’s probably right.

      • jrsONE

        so it follows then that Deans and JON are each smarter than Quade because they each are paid more than him? That seems contradictory to every opinion you have expressed to date jb.

        There are a litany of examples of Quade doing foolish or stupid things, past and present. His decisions, actions and attitudes are a far better indicator of his intelligence than his salary, and to assert otherwise is reductive and does nothing to substantiate your argument.

        It also doesn’t engage with the issue of whether he is smarter than Bernie Larkham, Campo etc…

        • well stated

          like

      • Pedro

        What was Charlie Sheen getting paid to sleep with whores and have breakfast with a fat child? Half a mill per episode? What a genius.

      • Redsfan1

        He is very close to getting that $750,000 contract torn up at a point where his form isn’t exciting league.

        Yeah i’d say he’s not that smart…

        • Blinky Bill of Bellingen

          You just know it’s a slow day in Oz when the conversation turns to whether or not Quade Cooper is smart or not.

          For God’s sake how much longer before flipping kickoff in Argie Bargie Land?

    • Fletch

      I think that referring to JOC and Beale in same context as Cooper is plain out wrong. What the hell has JOC done – except win us test matches.What has Kurtley done wrong, so he had couple of off games. – other than that the kid is amazing- stop buying into this 3 amigos rubbish and bagging these young guys and starting supporting them- they are extremely talented and have plenty of smarts. Cooper has made his own bed but the other 2 r great – smells like tall poppy to me

  • jezacbhs

    I agree that ‘smarts’ are something that the Aussies possessed during their ‘golden era’.

    However, it’s important to recognise that times have changed. Having grown up in NZ throughout the aforementioned ‘era, and comparing it to now – we have rediscovered our love of forward domination. Also, the game has just become far less free-flowing.

    Australia just doesn’t have the forward parity atm to provide the quick quality ball necessary to play the game they used to excel at.

    • johnny-boy

      Yes we do troll. We just don’t have coach parity and guess where he comes from.

      • PD

        Your a just another racist.

        • well stated

          like. Honestly. Jezacbhs’ comments are pretty fair. Johnny boy would win the troll of the week award on this site..a close run with Jimbo81…sigh.

        • well stated

          yeah the kiwi’s comment was fair enough. Unnecessary johnny.

  • Redstragic

    D

  • Bobas

    Larkham on attack was always thinking ahead multiple phases.
    Cooper on attack is only thinking about his next tweet.

    Jonny boy its rude to ask someone how much they get paid, no matter how jealous you are.

    • Gjalt

      Bobas, you saw the article is about the South Africa – Australia match? Don’t remember seeing Cooper in that match, so games with him might have different stats. Not saying they do, but it’s weird getting Cooper involved in this discussion.
      Another thing is that Cooper was criticized for not going for the contact and passing when that isn’t always the best option. That would only increase the amount of passes per phase.

      Anyone looked at this statistic for other games? Is this one incident or a structural thing? If it’s structural, then the question is why they don’t get more passes per phase.

    • wiggety

      If you think Cooper isn’t a rugby thinker, then you obviously haven’t watched any Reds games in the last couple of years.

  • Pedro

    Well said hux.

  • P.tah

    Who do you reckon Hux is in the G&GR forum?

    I have stayed with Robbie purely out of of loyalty because he is the coach of the Wallabies. For the sake of rugby in Australia, this needs to get better.

  • luketerra6

    Would be interested to see if this sort of play is reflected down through the Aust Super Rugby teams or its just a Deans thing at the Wallabies.

    Great article though Hux. I never enjoy seeing the Wallabies lose, but if a loss this weekend would signal the end of Deans, I’d be able to move on pretty quickly!

  • Skippy

    Great article and I agree… Except I’d say our smarts started in the early 80′s with the Ella’s and Campo etc and with intelligent players like Farr-Jones and Lynagh….. And the smarts were the strength of some of the weaker teams through the last 80′s. our smarts reached maturity with Horan! Gregan, Larkham etc but since Deans took over Astralisn rugby has lost its soul… It’s direction and it’s foundation. Ad we all know what happen when you build a house with dodgy foundations.

    I will always support our boys… But I ‘hope’ we lose. Rugby is boring now…. It’s deperessing and frustrating. If we lose…. Hopefully Deans goes. But I doubt it…. And we will probably only get Nuci…. And he’s not the answer.

    McQueen should be manager. Dwyer advisor. Link to coach. Foley to ate scrims. Larkham the backs… And we should have all the smart people involved as consultants or advisors. Give the boys the best… The best support… No skype kicking coaches. Get tough on off field behaviour. Rebuild the culture… Based on Aus traditions including ‘smarts’.

  • Redsfan1

    Australian Rugby is certainly not a democracy. John O’Neil and his mob expect fans to fork out big $$$ for tickets, merchandise & pay tv.

    Yet do they return the favour by providing a quality product? NO!

    And do they listen when the fans start voting with their feet & demanding a coaching change? NO!

    It’s just poor all round.

    • Skippy

      Spot on…. JON is more interesting in his legacy.. i.e. balancing the books (cutting players, cutting wages etc) than he is with creating or developing a ‘product’ in a competitive market place.

      Rugby as a ‘product’ can only compete with the other codes when its a successful product on the field.

  • danny

    Nice one Hux. I remember driving through the south of France with some friends on rugby game day. The Froggies do this thing where they pull off into a ditch beside the road, and I mean a ditch, and have a BBQ before the game as the traffic roars past. Good luck to em I say!

  • Luke

    A very interesting read, Hux, and also very telling of where we are as a rugby nation.

    It seems that we have taken the very conservative approach we played in the RWC11 and have almost continued on with it.

    In many ways we have digressed since, as you say, 1998 to 2008.

    Unfortunately for Robbie, I don’t think he’s the coach to take us forward, and it is about time we brought in another coach to reinvigorate the team.

  • Fletch

    Im gonna go out on a limb here and will probably get nailed for it…. and say:

    I do NOT think Will Genia is a good option for the Wallabies as half back unless he RADICALLY changes his playing style and philosphy. ( along with the forwards as well ) Do I think he is capable of doing so ? – Yes

    Ill tell you why.Just like Hux said, our spiritual core was that not only did we out think teams over the years but we had / have as aussies have an unmatched skill in beating the man one on one – we always have. !!!
    Its ingrained in us to beat the man one on one since we started throwing the footy round in the park or the living room. Its why we have decimated teams in the past with speed and skill and its why we are unrivalled in League as well.

    While Genia has created a certian style within the reds with some success – I still dont like it and it definely is not applicable at test level.

    The slowing down of the ball and the pick and goes is nothing but 1990 pommy rubbish ! The then sudden spinning of the ball meant to surprise and take advantage of a well worked overlap JUST DOESNT WORK at test level against the ABs and Boks and even northern teams now.

    Its easily telegraphed, it completely f..ks momentum and it totally negates the Australian advantage which is the more hands the ball passes through the more exponential chance we have of scoring.

    This is why I like Phipps, Sheenan, I really dont care, just pass the f..king ball and QUICKLY. Same thing happened with Luke Burgess, he started off passing the ball very quickly at the Tahs and as he got into the wallabies he completely slowed everything down…and what happened, WE GOT SMASHED….Its soo dumb.

    As a half back I dont care if you dont make any snipping runs just get to the ruck fast and pass the ball to the guys who will invariable do us proud and put a smile back on our faces – our aussie backs !

    When Phipps played for first time 3 weeks ago , bar his brain freeze kick, I thought he was magical for all the reasons above and I was sitting in apub in budapest completely alone with a stupid smile on my face, thinking ….

    YEAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

    And I still do think he and Sheenan are better than Genia – I just want one thing from the half back – speed !!

    We desparately need to return to this, eradicate aimless 1 off passing and return to basics.

    Will someone with some f…king brains, stand up, take this code by the scruff of its kneck and knock some f..king sense into the SELECTORS, PLAYERS AND COACHES.

    Its getting embarrasing.

  • Stephen BB

    Good stat’s + missing Smarts = winning formula!
    Great article!

  • mw

    Only problem I see with this argument is that you compare one game last week with a generation of Wallaby greats. Would be nice to compare like with like.

  • Seaweed

    Totally on the money. The only way we have ever achieved dominance. Outhink, outrun, outsmart. Exemplified by the Reds when they won (yes they won – remember that!?) the S15.

    • Skippy

      And again… your spot on. Why did they win? They certainly didn’t win because to a man they were the best in the comp. Sai’a Faingaa etc are not the best of the best. They won because they were the best team. They played the ‘smartest’. They played to the opposition weaknesses. Analysed the opposition and attacked where they could the weakness. They played smart… and that meant conservative at times. How quickly we forget an Australian team genuinly over ‘achieved’ in my opinion but how quickly we forget more the facts of how they over achieved.

  • Parksider

    Skippy, you better add Muggo as defensive coach to your dream coaching roster. Remember how we had killer defence before Robbie ushered him out.

    Thank you Hux for addressing the “spiritual core”, that most vital of elements for any team and player.The destruction of the team’s spirit is Dingo’s greatest crime (among many) as the Wallabies coach.

    I believe it boils down to his having the hubris to believe that he has a vision equal to the ambitions of the team. He then matches that with an ego and totalitarian streak that says “you have to play it my way or hit the highway”. He creates an environment that kills the spirit of anyone else with vision. Just ask GItts, Steve Rogers and if he could articulate it, Quade Cooper. That’s what his “toxic environment” comment is about — the way in Robbie world, the flame of passion is doused by by a limited vision that takes into account only the petty tyrant’s ambition and none of his players’. Robbie has a very limited understanding of what drives players, especially the high achieving ones, to do what they do. His personnel management is appalling. It’s time he was given the Rocky Horror Show statement, “Frankenfurter, it’s all over. Your mission is a failure.”

    However, since no one in the ARU has the professional integrity to do that, I do believe it’s up to the paying public to vote with their wallets. I think it is the most patriotic thing to not attend games until Deans is dispatched. We have to save Oz rugby before Deans extinguishes the players’ spirit for generations to come. Sometimes you have to cut the finger to save the hand. This would not be a put down of the players, but a vote of confidence for them. To continue to support the work of a sub standard coach and the self interested administrators who back him, would be to play the Alec Guiness role in Bridge on the River Kwai. clinging to proper form in an improper environment and resisting the necessary pragmatism of blowing up the bridge to stop the enemy.

    And before ending my rant, I wanted to offer an observation that arose from my reading of the comments about Khoder Nasser being Quade’s puppeteer. What a red herring. What a waste of time. Just think:about this. When there is a restrictive regime that limits the opportunity for players to fulfill their aspirations, there is an opportunity for an iconoclast to break in. The quality of the restrictive regime is mirrored by the quality of the iconoclast who disrupts it. The closest example is the cricket establishment and Kerry Packer. Whatever you may think of that ugly bastard, he did revolutionize world cricket. The quality of the cricketing establishment begat the quality of its nemesis. That KN and his small time hustle is what the ARU has begat adds credence to the calls for a clean up of the administration….that and their insistence on a substandard coach who is killing the spirit of the green and gold game we love.

    • johnny-boy

      Is that you Richie ? :)

  • peterlala

    Julian, great article.

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