Wallaby contenders by the numbers: Halfback

Matt Rowley May 9, 2012 37

No GravatarInternational season looms and as such it’s time to start having a look at the contenders for the Green and Gold jerseys. First up – halfback.

Now offhand you might question this as a choice. Australia and the Western Force Reds have maybe the world’s best number 9′s in the form of Will Genia, and his erstwhile rival for halfback is now listening to his Tracy Chapman mixed tapes while sipping Rose in Toulouse.

But that would be to deny the stunning season Nic White of the Brumbies has been having. He’s been looking the goods, but what do the numbers say?

Well, they tell you your eyes haven’t been deceiving you. No stats I have will tell you how crisp and accurate scrummie’s pass is – no doubt his prime function (and for which Bob Dwyer gives Nic great wraps). But there are a range of other indicators that show White’s worth, including:

  • At 41m per game (which I measure per 80minutes played) he makes the most running metres of any Australian 9, and more than double the number of Will Genia (20m)
  • He makes almost triple the number of offloads of any other Aussie 9, almost double the number of line-breaks and is equal 6th in the comp overall for try assists
  • With a tackle completion rate of 81%, he is substantially ahead of his peers, with McKibben at 75% and Genia at 69%

What I find most interesting is his tactical kicking though. At first glance you might think that with 2148 kick metres in comp, Will Genia is king with the boot. But this would ignore Genia playing almost 4 whole more matches than White in terms of game time. When you factor this in, you see just how Nic is becoming Jake White’s Aussie Fourie du Preez.

Nic kicks on average 309 metres per game, almost a full length of the field ahead of Genia. The rest are no-where in comparison. With the highest number of metres per kick out of any of the scrummies, you get some sense of his prodigious boot. This distance will be tempered though with what I believe is the best box-kick in Australia – excellent hang time and the accuracy to consistently drop 3 meters outside of the opposition’s 22 (perhaps a video some other time).

White – Putting his hand up?

You can see all the stats in the table at the bottom, but a couple not captured there are two others:

  • Will Genia leads the comp in line-break assists, with 9 overall. An indication of his generalship over the Reds back line this year? Brett Sheehan is third.
  • Brendan McKibben is third in the whole comp for place kick success rate, at 89%. A pretty handy skill to have (thanks to Rucking Good Stats for this)

But there you have it. Will Robbie ignore the beard Jake White couldn’t and give Nic a run? Or will Sanchez re-establish his class?

Who’s your Wallaby 9?

 

Player Nic White Brendan McKibben Brett Sheehan Will Genia Nick Phipps
# of 80 MINS 5.8 5.3 8.0 10.1 7.1
Offload 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.3
Kicks (No) 8.7 4.0 5.5 6.8 0.8
Kicks (m/80mins) 309 128 148 213 19
metres / kick 36 32 27 31 23
Line Brk 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1
Try Ass. 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.1
Runs (m/80mins) 41 26 25 20 15
Runs (No/80mins) 5.5 4.2 5.1 3.5 3.4
Runs Open No. 1.4 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.7
Open (m) 26.7 1.9 5.4 5.5 2.7
Runs Tight No. 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.4
Tight (m) 1.9 1.3 0.0 2.5 0.8
Scrum Half Run No. 3.6 3.2 3.6 1.9 1.7
Scrum Half Run (m) 12.3 22.6 14.2 8.9 6.1
Ruck/Maul 4.3 3.0 4.7 3.0 3.0
Pen yielded 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.6
Free yielded 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Miss.Tack 0.9 1.7 2.7 1.1 4.1
Tackles Attempted 9.0 8.3 10.2 5.8 16.8
Tackles Made 7.3 6.3 6.6 4.1 11.0
Tackles completion (%) 81% 75% 65% 69% 66%
Turnovers yielded 1.4 0.4 1.1 2.0 1.3
T/O yielded Gen. Play 0.5 0.2 0.9 1.2 0.8
T/O yielded Ruck/Maul 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.4

 

Player stats courtesy of RugbyStats

Discussion »

  • http://rugbyshirts.net Tim

    As Kiwi I’d have to say that Genia still looks (and feels) the most dangerous. He’s one of those players that can open a team up, much like Carter. The fact that he’s an actual scoring threat (even from long range) means he makes us bloody nervous. Having said that, White is an accurate player who will make the like’s of Cooper (when he comes back), or any other Wallaby first five, job easier, with more time and room to make choices…..don’t like the sound of that!

  • Duncher

    couldn’t go wrong with Sanchez starting and Nic White coming off the bench to inject speed and enthusiasm late in the game. The brums (and GOD this hurts to say) are playing the best footy at the moment in Australia because of the speed at which White clears the ruck… IMHO

  • Epi

    At least White is a viable backup.. unlike what we’ve had in the past…

    • commonasmud

      you are so right – haven’t had a decent 1-2 since Gregan – Cordingly.

  • http://www.andrewmosey.com Moses

    Gotta be White, his long kicking can completely dominate territory – poor Berrick looked like he was about to cry on Saturday night.

    • andyq

      Berrick ALWAYS looks like he’s about to cry

  • Seb V

    I think this is on of the easiest wallaby spots to pick. Genia first choice, White back-up.

  • Joe Mac

    I would say that there is no doubt who our number 2 half-back is, Nick White has been a revelation. While I am sure the majority of the Australian rugby public would agree with me, I highly doubt Dingo will make such a rational and logical decision.

    He will likely pick someone from completely left field to ensure he continues to derail our national side.

    • The Rant

      Well dingo does rate Phipps as someone who can perk up team morale at training and on the team bus – at least I guess that must be why he keeps bringing him on tours – cos it’s definately not to play games.

      • Garry

        Also, Phippsy doesn’t complain when Dingo asks him to assist him in getting some hot pies for the boys. Way up there in the scheme of things.

  • johnny-boy

    White has been great and I’ve been impressed by McKibbin of late. Phipps of the Rebels is way off the pace meaning Deans will probably pick him.

  • Pedro

    White’s general kicking power is what you want, he doesn’t need much room to execute either.

    What is hard to know is how much the forwards contribute to making a 9 look good/bad.

  • Muffy

    I agree that White is a shoe-in behind Genia, who is finally showing some form…

    I think that the spare 7 is a tougher ask (I cant wait for that thread)

    But…

    Peering into the mind of one R. Deans, I suspect he will scoff at the idea of a reserve half back (include into that open side and hooker) and go for utility players that can do it all…

    A bit like that “mania” guy on the “reds crusaders review” thread that has “played every position except 9 and 10″… what a super sub he would be

    • Seb V

      spare 7 is a bit more tricky, on form id probably go with Hooper. Gill is in the running too. But I also wouldn’t argue if Deans stuck with Hodgeson

    • Richo

      When did the Wobs ever do this under Deans?

  • Simo

    Look at it this way: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AgWFG_lsxHQ1dFdkcFJiTFNabjE0aTY5aU1XejR3cGc

    Who ticks the most boxes? Nic. Will hardly appears. But as we all no stats don’t tell the full story. E.g. do you want the #9 who runs the most? That means less ball to those outside him.

  • Swat

    Got to feel for Burgo…

    • Muffy

      I still get misty eyed thinking about his hit on $BW in the Baa Baas game…

      • Patrick

        Mortlock’s or Burgo’s?

        • muffy

          hard to choose, but I think burgos, no run up and not blindsided ….both go down as rugby porn…

  • Alan

    Pleasing to see we have some great players competing for the one position. I still think Genia is our premier no.9 and imo White should be his back up. Those stats are pretty fantastic and he would be a great substitute to inject 60mins into a match

    For the scotland game (lets face it, its a warm up for the welsh) its a no brainer, give White his run on chance and see how he goes.

    • Garry

      Wouldn’t it be great to feel secure that our national coaches has an effective strategy (or some sort of game plan?) to take advantage of the strengths of these new contenders coming through? It would even give those players some guidence on what to strive for to be selected for the WB position.

      As Coach Dwyer has stated in the past, “You can’t win without good players, but you can lose with lem.”

  • Homer J

    Deans is guaranteed to go with Phipps instead of White, so it is a moot topic. For christs sake the guy still believes Daley is a prop.

    On the upside we currently have 3 good blindsides (plus rocky), 2 number 8′s and and three No 7′s, who can all play international footy. Hooper will get the nod over Gill as Gill is capatin of the u20′s and is already committed.

    • the realist

      Homer J no way Phipps will get picked ahead of White.

      No way we have as many test standard backrowers as you claim otherwise we would definitely be doing a lot better in the super xv. Pocock, Elsom (when fit) and Palu are our only world class back row with Auelua (he needs to shed a few kilos first) our only true world class back up.

      As for the others; Hooper and Gill need a couple of more years experience and time for their bodies to develop. Our back up no 6′s all have serious faults. Higgers is a fairy floss no 6, Dennis is too light, and McCalman and Mowen are mediocre and simply do not have the physical attributes of Elsom.

      If you look at the physical prowess of the europeans and sa/nz none of our ‘almosts’ would get a look in.

      just keeping it real

  • AJ

    Always thought Genia was just a stop-gap until another Brumby half came along.
    These stats just confirm it.

    Can we have another couple of columns Gagger? One showing how much money each player is currently earning, and perhaps another showing how much they think they’re worth!

    I’d love to see a game of beach touch footy between Genia/Cooper and White/Lealiifano. It’d have to be touch as we don’t want it too one-sided.

  • Who Needs Melon

    You’re all nuts. It’s not White backing up Genia… It should be Genia backing up White. At least for the first test against Scotland. Why not reward the bloke who has shown the best form? Then sub on Genia to see/confirm whether his drop in form is self-inflicted or a result of what has been happening in the Reds?

    • the realist

      Honestly lets just hold our horses and think things through. Half a season of super xv should not see him usurp a player of Genia’s standing. Genia himself had to wait a good season or so before he trumped Burgess.

      Lets be realistic Genia is a world xv candidate, Nic White is not. Stats don’t always tell the full story, Genia has x factor. White looks a good back up though.

      • Fess

        Standing! What’s that? If we selected on ‘standing’ we’d still pick Gregan and Larkham, or Farr-Jones and Lynagh. We all like Genia, but then there are those times he box kicks straight to someone who can then counter-attack from only about 40 metres out. Then I frighten the children by screaming at the telly. The Kiwis have 4 or 5 half-backs contending for the ABs, and don’t they all look sharp for it. Genia should never have had to wait behind Burgess – plenty of heart and great defence but a 9 who can’t pass! What’s that about? Give Genia and White a few games each and see who delivers.

        • the realist

          Fess you make a compelling argument for nothing really.

      • Nabley

        Genia got injured. That was the holdup.

      • http://www.greenandgoldrugby.com Fess

        You make a good point. Took me a lot of raving to say give Genia and White a couple of games each and see how they go.

      • http://www.greenandgoldrugby.com Fess

        My other point might have been that I want the Wallabies to stop doing things that make me scream at the telly and frighten the kids! Happens a lot, you know.

        • the realist

          fair enough lets give genia and white a game each against scotland and wales respectively.

          also you realise that the kicks are not working cos our chasers aren’t committed. it works for everyone else but us.

      • Fess

        You speak the truth about the lame kick chase. Helps if the kick gets a bit of height and doesn’t go straight to a defender too.

  • Hills ton hog

    Forget that dingo thinks Daley is a prop……he also thinks mafu is a rugby player !!

  • Mark

    Genia was below average in the WC (Burgo was hugely ripped off not getting game time) and has been solid but not exceptional this season in S15. White has been outstanding this year. Whoever starts we’re in good hands, Genia should probably get the nod, but he should also be told that if he reverts to the aimless box kixking and slow cross field drifts that killed us in the WC he will be quickly benched.

  • Phil

    Watch Phipps up close, and you’ll see him jog or walk to the breakdown. If he walks to even one breakdown against Scotland, he can walk all the way from Newcastle back to Melbourne. He’ll get the #20 jersey because Deans’ has invested in him, but if there isn’t a dividend against Scotland, he’s doomed.

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