Thanks very much Think for posting results in lieu of the ISDA, whom (if you will collectively allow me a short rant) I have been thoroughly unimpressed with in recent weeks, given the apparent failure to renew the website, and the complete lack of information regarding the draw and/or octos coming through official channels, leaving it to be filtered through this forum or coaches. In any case, it's great that we have even this to see/discuss results.
Topic was somewhat... left field, in my opinion, others' thoughts? I saw a Grammar team win comfortably from neg, surprised to see that affs have mostly won, it would seem. Also quite shocked that Kings lost to the unfancied Caths, and that Knox went down to Loreto, given their impressive form last year. Very much to hear Panadol's input on the first result. Speaking of which, banter on this page is definitely down from last year (I suspect some of the former posters have moved on to uni) so I encourage all of you to a) post and b) tell other debaters about this.
Given that A192 has v. kindly provided the groups (and by the by, how on earth did you find all that), thought I'd do a little analysis on the relative strength of groups, especially relevant now that it seems the ranking of teams within groups will have a significant impact on finals matchups.
Group A:
Generally fairly even, an obvious contender in Grammar, and I'd be surprised if Joeys, Trinity and MLC missed out on finals. Would be interested to see tahs2k15's view on Joeys and MLC, given they've already exhibited some familiarity with those schools. So far this season, Grammar's looked their usual form, though obviously we all know about the perceived lacking in the 2015 squad. Trinity looked to be beatable against Grammar in preseason. Joeys seem to have a strong year group, as others have noted, and have done well to ensure they didn't fall over to either Brigidine or Tangara. PLC Sydney would not seem to be much of a threat, given their historic weakness and poor showing in the preseason Kings comp. Would expect MLC to be good based on general history, but last year they didn't seem to be that strong. I'm assured that Brigidine did not appear a threat for a second against Grammar, and I don't expect them to make finals. Absolutely no idea on Wenona and Tangara, but based on general history, doubt they'd make finals, though Wenona could have a dark horse chance.
Prediction for finals:
Grammar
Joeys
Trinity
MLC
Group B:
A few teams who could challenge, but a group I generally don't know much about, I'm afraid. The big players, clearly, are Barker and Knox, who judging by last year's form would expect to mount a title challenge. Barker's relatively strong form in preseason would confirm this, with the loss to a brilliant year group at SCEGGS not a huge consideration at this point (and may I just express my regret that SCEGGS continues to not be in the ISDA, when by all rights they should be and they would be immediate contenders, rather than sending a team to the less prestigious Eastside). Knox will be shocked to have lost to Loreto, and though Loreto are an outside shot for the finals in my thinking, I reckon there must have been some kind of major balls-up somewhere for that to happen. Pymble look to be decent, and likely to make finals in the absence of other major contenders, Kincoppal and Queenwood might be outside chances, but I seriously doubt Redlands and Stella (who failed to win a debate last year).
Prediction for finals:
Barker
Kings (whoops, this should be Knox, thanks AI92)
Pymble
Loreto
Group C:
A group that will probably result in a dark horse making it into finals, quite possibly the weakest of the four groups. Abbotsleigh will be nigh unstoppable, and St Aloysius should similarly romp home into the finals. I have some doubts about Shore, but given their good preseason form, they should make it into finals. The final spot is pretty much up for grabs in my estimation - I guess Monte would be most likely but based on watching their Year 10s last year, I have serious doubts. No idea whatsoever on the other few teams in the group.
Prediction for finals:
Abbotsleigh
St Aloysius
Shore
Monte
Group D:
A really really interesting group, with a few teams wondering whether they can mount a title challenge. Riverview, of course, once the powerhouse of the debating scene, has been building a reasonably strong team to recapture past glories. The other GPS schools, Scots and Kings, have similar ambitions, especially Scots, who have poured a truly obscene amount of money into their debating programme in recent years. Nevertheless, it's Kings who I'd say could be title contenders, which is why I'm so shocked that they lost to St Caths, who are unpredictable bordering on mediocre - only time will tell. Ravenswood might be in with a shout to make finals, while Cranbook is poor, and I have little idea on Luke's and Augustine's except a general doubt that they could come near finals.
Prediction for finals:
Riverview
Kings
Scots
Ravenswood
Hope this is interesting to some of you, and please feel free to weigh in with your own thoughts/analysis - there are a LOT of holes in my knowledge here, and any information is appreciated. And if I've made an obvious error in your opinion, feel free to point it out, this was kind of rushed.