There are plenty of ways you can look at these 2012 results and how they might be predictive in terms of the 2013 competition. On the pure figures alone Joeys looks like they would be likely premiers based on the results of their 2012 firsts, seconds, thirds and 16As but another way to look at the stats might be to apply the results based on the number of boys from each of a schools 2012 teams who might be returning in 2013 and be available for first XV selection.
Whilst this will obviously differ from school to school a broad brush approach might be to add 33% of the first XV's points to 50% of the second XV's points + 20% of the 16A's + 12.5% of the thirds points. The methodology is based on the liklihood that the returning players who might comprise each school's 1st XV are about 5-6 from their 2012 firsts, 7-8 from each teams 2012 seconds, maybe 3 from their 2012 16A's and possibly 1-2 from their 2012 thirds.
Based on the suggested methodology 2013 predictions would be:
1. Joeys - 11.7
2. Newington - 8.93
3. Kings - 8.28
4. Scots - 7.23
5. Shore - 5.8
5. Riverview - 4.92
As I stated each school will have differing numbers of players returning so the % taken for each of the 2012 sides will differ. Ultimately though they're only stats and what is done on the field by the players and off the field by the coaches will be what counts.
