Discussion in 'Rugby Discussion' started by waiopehu oldboy, May 8, 2017.
According to our local sport news Eben Etsebeth is also in the All Blacks WC squad.
That first pool game is going to be TENSE.
Here he is in his modified All Black kit.
First pool game and final is going to be tense.
Neat little tool to predict quarter and semi finals. https://www.rugbyworldcup.com/bracket
I'm assuming the seeds will progress without major upsets, bar Argentina beating the French. Toss a coin between Australia and Wales, but NZ and Ireland should be locks.
Ireland (predicting 1st)
Scotland (predicting 2nd)
Black Orcs (predicting 1st)
South Africa (predicting 2nd)
White Orcs (predicting 1st)
Argentina (predicting 2nd)
Australia (predicting 1st)
Wales (predicting 2nd)
White Orcs v Wales
Black Orcs v Scotland
Australia v Argentina
Ireland v South Africa
Wales v Black Orcs
Australia v South Africa
Australia v Black Orcs.
On the topic of predictions:
^Australia @ 3.8% looks too high to me!
I'll fight Winchester and his stupid predictive analytics model.
My "it's the vibe" model involving a spittle-daubed finger upthrust into the prevailing breeze will win
I wish the bookies odds reflect Australia only having a 3.8% chance of winning. That would be very enticing.
Likewise South Africa with a 12.9% chance.
FWIW I'll be placing my "to make the Final" bets thus:
$50 NZ v SA paying $4.33
$30 NZ v Wales @ $9.50
$20 NZ v Ireland @ $6.00
As previously posted I don't think it's possible for Ringinland to make the Final with their draw (Arg, Fra, QF, SF & Final in successive weeks) so even at $11.00 I'm not tempted.
Just out of interest, when did Straya last beat SA one week & NZ the next?
2008. 2004 and 2000 before that. In 2011 they did it a fortnight apart.
EDIT. SAF last beat AUS then NZ in successive weeks in 2014, both at home. I only looked back as far as 2008, they didn’t do it any other time in that period.
More science, from the guys at 1014 Rugby:
^ interesting but meaningless factoid gleaned from the above: the winners in '99, '03, '07 & '11 were all knocked out in the QF of the previous tournament, based on which Oirland supporters the world over will be convinced that "THIS is our Year, all the other times were just fine-tuning the fifth-equal-to-Champions formula" .
Ireland 22-17 Wales overnight puts NZ back to top of rankings. Wales will need to win the return match by 15+ to regain top spot.
Alternatively Ireland can win by 1 point or more to go the top of the rankings..
And if that happens and South Africa beat Japan by 15+ Wales will slip to 5th. Both of those margins eventuating are highly likely IMO.
Wow. If that's an economist's prediction, the All Blacks are screwed.
Forwards: Jake Ball, Adam Beard, Rhys Carre, James Davies, Elliot Dee, Ryan Elias, Tomas Francis, Cory Hill, Alun Wyn Jones (capt), Wyn Jones, Dillon Lewis, Ross Moriarty, Josh Navidi, Ken Owens, Aaron Shingler, Nicky Smith, Justin Tipuric, Aaron Wainwright.
Backs: Josh Adams, Hallam Amos, Dan Biggar, Aled Davies, Gareth Davies, Jonathan Davies, Leigh Halfpenny, George North, Hadleigh Parkes, Rhys Patchell, Owen Watkin, Liam Williams, Tomos Williams.
Can't find it to link to it but Foster was quoted over the weekend saying that one of TJP, Crotty or JBar will play 5/8 in a RWC Pool match. Also that this would be news to them as they hadn't actually "had that conversation yet" or similar. I'd have thought the last 20 v Tonga this weekend would be an appropriate time to trial it.
Separate names with a comma.