Finals predictions

[matty_k]

That Pick and Go finals calculator website is up and running again.

http://www.lassen.co.nz/s14tab.php

Have some fun with your predictions.

If all the home teams win with the bonus point and the away teams get nothing the table will look like this.


1 Blues 64
2 Reds 63
3 Crusaders 63
4 Stormers 62
5 Waratahs 57
6 Bulls 54

 

[Scarfman]

If all the higher placed teams win with no bonus points, it will look like this:

1 Reds 66
2 Stormers 65
3 Blues 63
4 Sharks 59
5 Crusaders 57
6 Waratahs 55

If all the home teams win with no bonus points, it will look like this:

1 Stormers 61
2 Crusaders 61
3 Reds 58
4 Blues 59
5 Waratahs 55
6 Bulls 53

 

[Hawko]

I am predicting:

Reds 71
Crusaders 65
Blues 64
Stormers 62
Bulls 57
Waratahs 55

Semis: Waratahs to beat Blues and Bulls to beat Stormers.
Prelim: Reds to beat Waratahs and Crusaders to beat Bulls
Final: Crusaders to beat Reds

The two key games in a host of difficult games to predict are Bulls vs Stormers and Crusaders vs Blues. If the Stormers and Blues win the whole scenario is turned on its head and I predict a Stormers win in the final. Unless the Reds drop a game, a Reds vs Tahs final is pretty unlikely.

The reasoning is based on my view that certain teams will win against certain others. For example I expect the Bulls to beat the Stormers, Tahs to beat the Blues, Crusaders to beat the Reds, even at home, Reds to beat the Tahs now they have no front row, Crusaders to beat the Bulls if the Bulls have to travel. But the scenarios are fascinating and any one of 8 teams can still win it from here if they get a run going.

 

[matty_k]

Using the examples on the site.
Strong Finish by the Kiwi teams
1 Blues 64
2 Stormers 62
3 Crusaders 61
4 Reds 59
5 Sharks 56
6 Waratahs 51

Strong Finish by the Saffers
1 Stormers 65
2 Sharks 62
3 Crusaders 61
4 Blues 60
5 Reds 59
6 Waratahs 53

Strong finish by the Aussies
1 Reds 68
2 Crusaders 61
3 Blues 60
4 Stormers 58
5 Waratahs 57
6 Sharks 56

Pretty much the same teams each time.

 

[vidiot]

Tis a strong finish by the kiwi and saffer teams to deny the reds more than a single point out of three more fixtures, two of which are against australian teams. Which apparently are weak.

 

[Tangawizi]

Reds have Brumbies, Force and Chiefs to go. Of those I think Force is the biggest danger-game. Reckon they'll pick up more than 1 point tonight though.

 

[tigerland12]

Not sure why everyone is rating Auckland so highly, their two matches before QLD they were sloppy, against the Reds they played well in patches and this game againt the Chiefs they look really average.
I can definatly see them dropping out of the top 3

 

[matty_k]

Not sure why everyone is rating Auckland so highly, their two matches before QLD they were sloppy, against the Reds they played well in patches and this game againt the Chiefs they look really average.
I can definatly see them dropping out of the top 3

Well have a go yourself and post the results.

 

[tigerland12]

Well have a go yourself and post the results.

I couldn't be screwed doing the maths to be honest haha.
But I'd randomly say

1-Reds
2-Stormers
3-Crusaders
4-Blues
5-Bulls
6-Waratahs

 

[matty_k]

You don't have to do the maths. You only need to plug in results and the website does it for you.

 

[Tangawizi]

Huge fuck up from the Blues tonight. Crusaders to finish on top in NZ now

 

[Victorian Reds Fan]

Awesome win by the Chiefs. Blues very average.

 

[vidiot]

Blues fell at the first of their final three hurdles. Not the hardest either.

 

[qwerty51]

It all over a sudden looks alright for the Tahs. Maximum they can finish on is 57.

Could even finish 4th and get a home semi

 

[Blue]

Huge fuck up from the Blues tonight. Crusaders to finish on top in NZ now

And Stormers can get a home semi if they can keep winning.

 

[Hawko]

I am predicting:

Reds 71
Crusaders 65
Blues 64
Stormers 62
Bulls 57
Waratahs 55

Semis: Waratahs to beat Blues and Bulls to beat Stormers.
Prelim: Reds to beat Waratahs and Crusaders to beat Bulls
Final: Crusaders to beat Reds.

I know I am replying to my own quote, but the results this round have been extremely weird (Sharks/Cheetahs still to come) and based on this weekend there is too much variability in performance to properly predict anything much. The Stormers (who didn't have to play much) and the Crusaders (who didn't have to play at all) probably now look the best with the Bulls as the smokey.

 

[Bullrush]

Awesome win by the Chiefs. Blues very average.

I said this week that I was very uncomfortable about our home run....geez I wish Toeava was playing.....

 

[Scarfman]

Using the examples on the site.
Strong Finish by the Kiwi teams
1 Blues 64
2 Stormers 62
3 Reds 59
4 Crusaders 61
5 Sharks 56
6 Waratahs 51

Strong Finish by the Saffers
1 Stormers 65
2 Crusaders 61
3 Reds 59
4 Sharks 62
5 Blues 60
6 Waratahs 53

Strong finish by the Aussies
1 Reds 68
2 Crusaders 61
3 Stormers 58
4 Blues 60
5 Waratahs 57
6 Sharks 56

Pretty much the same teams each time.

Don't forget that conference winners are ranked 1, 2, 3. I've adjusted your standings accordingly.

 

[Scotty]

And Stormers can get a home semi if they can keep winning.

Not just home semi but home final is a real chance if they can beat the bulls.

 

[#1 Tah]

Reds have Brumbies, Force and Chiefs to go. Of those I think Force is the biggest danger-game. Reckon they'll pick up more than 1 point tonight though.

Going to say it now. Reds are fucked without the NSWelshman Beau. Remember the first 2 rounds?